La Liga · resolved market

Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-19?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5213ec0759db9cdf908e4cfbdc51ffcf3081c3db0aaf0ac52d497f05f882755b

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 10, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $114,937
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $134,385

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,937 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in La Liga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x92d8…9762backed Yes	15c	10,000$1,538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,538.24	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	+7.1wins	+0.15per pick	31cpaid	+249.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No	80c	5,769$4,611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,157.39	908	43.6%396 W · 512 L	-9.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	80c	5,255$4,186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,068.16	4,740	47%2,230 W · 2,510 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No	78c	5,207$4,049 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,158.22	2,343	48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes	3c	4,801$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.99	113	36.3%41 W · 72 L	+9.9wins	+0.09per pick	28cpaid	+450.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x88fb…e517backed Yes	11c	4,586$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	29c	4,362$1,272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,271.78	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes	29c	3,823$1,109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,108.65	265	50.9%135 W · 130 L	+8.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No	71c	2,613$1,855 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$757.86	1,176	51.9%610 W · 566 L	+18.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	29c	2,602$755 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$754.73	306	34.6%106 W · 200 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf44e…6e9ebacked Yes	11c	2,072$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes	29c	1,990$577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$577	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes	14c	1,612$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes	30c	1,331$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	110	37.3%41 W · 69 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes	20c	1,200$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.16	202	55%111 W · 91 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes	4c	1,200$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	232	55.6%129 W · 103 L	+18.5wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes	4c	1,114$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.71	150	36.7%55 W · 95 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes	13c	896.86$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121	262	41.2%108 W · 154 L	+11.7wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes	4c	757$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.28	490	57.1%280 W · 210 L	+26.6wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes	9c	750$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	104	16.3%17 W · 87 L	-10.2wins	-0.10per pick	26cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x61d0…6934backed Yes	4c	750$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.62	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a91…dfc4backed Yes	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.12per pick	17cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes	30c	666.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	45	28.9%13 W · 32 L	-4.0wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No	69c	621.53$430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.46	234	52.6%123 W · 111 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes	29c	556.99$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.53	278	54.7%152 W · 126 L	+20.3wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed No	72c	546.74$394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.09	201	48.8%98 W · 103 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes	12c	510.64$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	69	20.3%14 W · 55 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No	71c	499.99$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145	50	46%23 W · 27 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x423c…25d5backed Yes	9c	428$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.3	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	+3.1wins	+0.11per pick	14cpaid	+92.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed No	72c	410$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.8	139	58.3%81 W · 58 L	+6.7wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3397…9ec1backed Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.16per pick	25cpaid	-72.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes	14c	357.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	28cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6365…0c3fbacked Yes	11c	348.48$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab85…81e6backed No	71c	342.48$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.32	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.7wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+120.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Yes	30c	333$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.9	227	40.1%91 W · 136 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No	69c	316$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.96	295	45.4%134 W · 161 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes	28c	311.98$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	47	31.9%15 W · 32 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+33%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2809…b26abacked No	70c	303.67$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.1	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-4.1wins	-0.24per pick	47cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes	29c	300$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	239	47.7%114 W · 125 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No	70c	300$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	213	55.9%119 W · 94 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c11…b0e6backed No	71c	281.69$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.69	5	60%3 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No	70c	259.66$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.9	150	49.3%74 W · 76 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes	30c	258.45$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.54	95	49.5%47 W · 48 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b3…c933backed Yes	13c	217.92$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.03	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-2.6wins	-0.23per pick	32cpaid	-81.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked No	70c	214.29$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.29	200	47.5%95 W · 105 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes	29c	214.09$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.09	172	52.3%90 W · 82 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16a4…4cc5backed Yes	29c	206.9$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes	29c	200$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	206	42.7%88 W · 118 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked No	71c	173$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.17	115	59.1%68 W · 47 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39f4…3c57backed Yes	12c	161$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.52	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb343…972fbacked Yes	15c	153.52$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.04	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes	17c	143.1$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.33	791	33%261 W · 530 L	-8.9wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes	30c	137.53$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.26	204	41.7%85 W · 119 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Yes	28c	109.99$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.8	78	44.9%35 W · 43 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	127	27.6%35 W · 92 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f02…f85fbacked Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2db…be15backed No	73c	98$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.62	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f3e…380cbacked No	72c	97.22$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.22	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No	71c	94$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.56	532	42.3%225 W · 307 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked No	72c	92.32$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.85	47	63.8%30 W · 17 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	67cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Yes	29c	90$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.1	87	28.7%25 W · 62 L	-4.9wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes	29c	86.21$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	139	36%50 W · 89 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes	30c	83.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	160	36.3%58 W · 102 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Yes	29c	82.76$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	117	41.9%49 W · 68 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes	29c	82.1$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.81	142	33.8%48 W · 94 L	-9.7wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked No	71c	79.49$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.05	31	64.5%20 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	67cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No	71c	77.8$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.56	95	60%57 W · 38 L	+5.1wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed No	70c	77$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.1	87	51.7%45 W · 42 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes	30c	75$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	170	36.5%62 W · 108 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25de…ec0ebacked Yes	31c	75$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.25	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.28per pick	57cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xecbb…a8c2backed No	72c	69.44$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.44	23	69.6%16 W · 7 L	+3.4wins	+0.15per pick	55cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x90b6…a1b0backed Yes	29c	68.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes	29c	67.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.64	169	26%44 W · 125 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes	30c	67.37$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.21	123	44.7%55 W · 68 L	-11.9wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x657a…04bebacked Yes	30c	66.53$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.96	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.31per pick	36cpaid	+73.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed No	71c	55.01$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.74	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb1…fa48backed No	71c	50.7$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.7	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes	29c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.67	309	56%173 W · 136 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes	29c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	203	53.7%109 W · 94 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0739…8f90backed Yes	31c	50$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6471…42a1backed Yes	29c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+88.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93b5…42e7backed Yes	29c	49.97$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.49	55	58.2%32 W · 23 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+15%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaabf…21dbbacked Yes	29c	37.93$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	72	56.9%41 W · 31 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42ce…d2cbbacked No	71c	35.21$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.21	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No	71c	35$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.15	285	58.2%166 W · 119 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No	69c	30.12$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.34	167	40.1%67 W · 100 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e0…b300backed No	70c	24$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-3.1wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No	70c	20.97$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.29	204	52.5%107 W · 97 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked No	70c	17.14$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.14	91	34.1%31 W · 60 L	-6.3wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x28bb…d0d6backed No	71c	16.83$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.88	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+4.4wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb7a0…55a3backed No	72c	14.22$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.98	5	60%3 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-19?this page
Will Elche CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?Yes won
Will Elche CF win on 2026-01-19?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-19?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event