TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Elche CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$155,427
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$232,091

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,427 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No74c12,457$9,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,165.2590843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes26c12,097$3,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,917.954242.9%18 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No69c7,995$5,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,516.426145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes31c3,700$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,55364046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes31c3,200$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2081346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes35c2,190$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,428.482,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes31c1,898$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.6220449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80da…2086backed Yes30c1,663$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.333622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No73c1,621$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.044,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Yes30c1,501$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.78243.9%36 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No74c1,451$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.5669142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes30c1,333$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.332416.7%4 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-46.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No53c1,151$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.93,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes17c1,142$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.972751.9%14 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick37cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes30c1,047$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.6750243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a0e…4dc6backed No72c1,044$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.47728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No69c1,024$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.2153246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes25c891.09$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.094240.5%17 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c834.8$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.051,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No17c792$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3683939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No69c767.74$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.123452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes76c747.9$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.536575.4%49 W · 16 L+15.4wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed No69c554.83$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.841643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes31c519$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.1110245.1%46 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No70c499.99$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3505046%23 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes31c483.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.8711342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No7c425.72$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3833544.2%148 W · 187 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30010441.3%43 W · 61 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes30c400$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28014427.8%40 W · 104 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadf2…8f6bbacked Yes5c400$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+400%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.6215446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No32c323.19$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5729038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.581225%3 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5823152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No72c300$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21617252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacba…9256backed No70c300$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2103145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No28c298$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7540033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2d7…082bbacked Yes31c258.06$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No37c253.49$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2416838.1%64 W · 104 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes25c240$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1804731.9%15 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+33%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes19c210.53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.536920.3%14 W · 55 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No8c204.24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2922859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes29c200$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14242458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6b8…3539backed Yes30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-50.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed Yes31c191.53$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.532958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No64c189.99$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.8537039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No74c189.98$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.0629946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No75c169.04$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.7823762.9%149 W · 88 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No27c160$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.615036.7%55 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e28…df76backed Yes16c156.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.251450%7 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked Yes17c147.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.063842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf680…f435backed Yes26c133.08$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.48475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+97.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Yes26c131.33$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2611741.9%49 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes34c126.47$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.472835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes16c125$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10519652.6%103 W · 93 L-15.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No71c124.14$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1427854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes26c123.44$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7479133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d40…f95abacked Yes26c118.5$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.763053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0c85backed Yes25c116$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+120%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes18c111.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1114333.6%48 W · 95 L+11.8wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Yes29c110.34$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.343627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb42a…0156backed Yes31c107.68$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.31127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2298…ac49backed Yes12c101.69$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.194615.2%7 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf44e…6e9ebacked Yes30c101.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.17425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0723855.9%133 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638143.2%35 W · 46 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+48.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0052…4d9ebacked Yes75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.192766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5121355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c37…9b8cbacked Yes32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44d6…aafdbacked Yes32c93.13$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.332941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked No69c88.42$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.012951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes30c83.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3313936%50 W · 89 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes15c83.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.7415643.6%68 W · 88 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes25c82.7$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.039549.5%47 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb343…972fbacked Yes31c81.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.03633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1315…a84abacked Yes29c80.7$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefe5…2ce7backed Yes31c80.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.65520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes31c80.2$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3420452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.677838.5%30 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6726545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.673528.6%10 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked Yes30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.672441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x754d…893bbacked Yes23c66$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+80.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39f4…3c57backed Yes26c66$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.81933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e6f…c966backed Yes31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.522927.6%8 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dbf…6631backed No71c62.45$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.361258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x268f…92e3backed No24c61.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes31c60$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.422638.5%87 W · 139 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes25c60$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454634.8%16 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No70c50.03$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7724546.9%115 W · 130 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No69c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.524052.9%127 W · 113 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6471…42a1backed Yes26c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+88.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes31c48.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3930749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No61c48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4415246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacae…41adbacked Yes32c46.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.883135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes24c42$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9219237.5%72 W · 120 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes30c41$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.726550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9858…75f7backed Yes33c40.19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+118.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3013958.3%81 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.