Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Hakeem Jeffries endorse Mamdani?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdf9b3a321d8cfa54975521040d8473282d616094768185cce24fd38493ade0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $216,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $219,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x036e…9276backed Yes | 66c | 46,912$30,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,165.72 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ce…16ecbacked No | 25c | 30,135$7,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,585.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…5155backed No | 31c | 25,845$7,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,986.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 33c | 21,423$7,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,133.18 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 38c | 12,690$4,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,767.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…2d05backed No | 33c | 9,172$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 74c | 9,117$6,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,394.29 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 18c | 9,112$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.25 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 74c | 8,005$5,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,093.72 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 73c | 7,927$5,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.06 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 75c | 7,013$5,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.69 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 75c | 6,829$5,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.44 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 74c | 6,439$4,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.8 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 77c | 5,624$4,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.49 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 67c | 4,988$3,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.16 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed Yes | 76c | 4,422$3,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.63 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 71c | 3,832$2,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.68 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…9a1ebacked No | 18c | 3,049$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.95 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 2c | 3,013$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 24c | 2,948$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.99 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…e5eebacked No | 26c | 2,839$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…422abacked Yes | 75c | 2,783$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.46 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 2,552$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.08 | 497 | 11.5%57 W · 440 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x883c…d600backed No | 15c | 2,333$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c8…73cebacked Yes | 74c | 2,135$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.03 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d8…68cabacked Yes | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ea…7a3dbacked Yes | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 68c | 1,875$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.71 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa225…b903backed No | 33c | 1,811$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7af…bbf1backed No | 45c | 1,618$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 27c | 1,555$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.57 | 87 | 18.4%16 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 60c | 1,500$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.68 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f93…6197backed No | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef6d…9bd2backed No | 46c | 1,415$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…8f90backed No | 8c | 1,356$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.29 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 78c | 1,270$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.27 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed No | 33c | 1,257$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.61 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x087a…48c4backed No | 19c | 1,204$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ee…a7f2backed No | 21c | 1,180$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 71c | 1,115$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.97 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa8…6c7cbacked No | 31c | 1,080$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…fcd1backed No | 31c | 1,071$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.91 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…1e37backed No | 59c | 1,025$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e63…cb93backed No | 20c | 1,017$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 36c | 917.44$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…8d11backed No | 24c | 907.62$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Yes | 75c | 900$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cf…4de3backed No | 22c | 879.6$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 57c | 855.55$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.83 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed No | 37c | 800.66$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 25c | 720$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.6 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Yes | 19c | 715.98$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +271.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 19c | 691.59$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.28 | 81 | 14.8%12 W · 69 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 23c | 689.08$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.8 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked No | 25c | 672$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.55 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5b…b993backed Yes | 60c | 668.62$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf94…402dbacked Yes | 79c | 629.28$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…24debacked No | 21c | 610$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.7 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…865ebacked No | 18c | 600.19$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a56…216dbacked No | 15c | 596.14$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9009…59e0backed No | 24c | 556.84$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c87…fce0backed No | 31c | 514.18$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 62c | 499.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed No | 42c | 437.62$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f9…2573backed Yes | 75c | 425$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 75c | 399.98$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked No | 39c | 374.98$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.49 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…bdb2backed Yes | 67c | 351.6$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 69c | 349.32$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.24 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 30c | 331.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…8da0backed Yes | 60c | 330$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 64c | 291.48$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…ca40backed No | 30c | 291.17$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafa7…fac3backed No | 18c | 260.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…d95cbacked Yes | 72c | 255.05$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3b…c3e2backed Yes | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…7e0abacked Yes | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 19c | 240.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 15c | 234$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 21c | 231.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…99f3backed No | 30c | 230$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaba…a1d7backed No | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed No | 49c | 204.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…c57dbacked No | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 27c | 197$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 133 | 17.3%23 W · 110 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed No | 34c | 191.59$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed Yes | 67c | 189.4$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.07 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 19c | 179.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 272 | 22.1%60 W · 212 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x135b…24f8backed No | 35c | 179$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 29c | 174.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 37c | 164.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…b63dbacked No | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.