La Liga · resolved market
CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe39a13327178eb4587f13837595ec5f0617269e83d65ea844b1b2dcf467a22b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Over | 24c | 4,125$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 1,127$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.16 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cb…5f9fbacked Under | 75c | 1,114$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…7a18backed Over | 12c | 999.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 14c | 531.34$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.95 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 76c | 529$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.96 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Over | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 20c | 366.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 4c | 289.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 78c | 278$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 78c | 264.83$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 22c | 226.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 440 | 39.3%173 W · 267 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Over | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 10c | 174.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 78c | 170.46$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…beaebacked Over | 21c | 169.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Over | 12c | 162.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 22c | 125.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 21c | 96.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 19c | 88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 78c | 84.77$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 326 | 45.4%148 W · 178 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 20c | 61.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…d7a0backed Over | 22c | 49.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1b…94b2backed Under | 79c | 47.73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 78c | 36.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Under | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Under | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5this page
- CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-2.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)CA Osasuna won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)CA Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.