TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,368
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,617

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,368 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4fc8…6ca6backed Over39c14,249$5,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,602.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-46.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over40c10,335$4,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,134.1812132.2%39 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under60c8,355$5,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,341.9114146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Under60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+27.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over6c3,334$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.744,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over11c2,317$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.823,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over40c2,023$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.159052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Under59c1,627$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.157656.6%43 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.913054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Over1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15442.3%1 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-50.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf94c…4484backed Under78c1,500$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.336261.3%38 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over40c1,185$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47610938.5%42 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under59c1,138$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.426546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Under62c1,081$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.655957.6%34 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Over1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10533.8%2 W · 51 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+82.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Over40c800$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over41c706.12$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.5111444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over38c657$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.6650449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under60c643.35$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.0968450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under60c632.45$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.9848251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eb3…8e52backed Under62c603.37$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.374544.4%20 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+39.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Under80c562.5$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.55149%25 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8345…5cadbacked Over41c535.35$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.49633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over40c500.08$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9844039.3%173 W · 267 L-1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab4d…3f0bbacked Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5511819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under78c455.04$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.045554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Over25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1b6…70ffbacked Under75c366.25$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.821631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.6wins-0.28per pick60cpaid-52.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over27c343$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.612536%9 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under77c329.43$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.313251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc82…3918backed Under78c302.79$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.42540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-45.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11413728.5%39 W · 98 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12064457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under70c287.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.981,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over18c256.75$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2261657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under60c255$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10228045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over39c249.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.510046%46 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a6b…68a0backed Over40c240$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bef…485bbacked Under61c233.72$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.152352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under74c232.71$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.122646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over25c221.1$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5515344.4%68 W · 85 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f0b…ed1abacked Over41c216.34$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.730%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x75fc…0a4cbacked Over27c199.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4287.1%2 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick21cpaid-66.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over41c182.93$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7549228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Under65c178.98$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.547950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x510a…6cacbacked Over41c175.61$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721637.5%6 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Under62c160.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.863339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over20c159.73$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3760832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over28c158.52$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.825547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under65c132$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.224048.3%116 W · 124 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1732…1c15backed Over41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-45.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd53c…5194backed Over18c120$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.073933.3%13 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under60c116.1$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2535442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc709…809dbacked Over39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over39c102.04$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.892254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Over20c100.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205427.8%15 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+58.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3916149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Over27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.48028.8%23 W · 57 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over39c91.1$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.619358.5%113 W · 80 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over30c80.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6237348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x125c…f50abacked Over29c79.31$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235543.6%24 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under73c77.56$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1992345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under60c72.51$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2969750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee5b…dac8backed Under73c70$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.881855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb9…2772backed Over22c70$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.351752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over39c65.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.421,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Under77c65.32$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.32366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick79cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a3c…84c5backed Under75c64.09$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.093164.5%20 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over38c64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3212958.1%75 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over20c63.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0720253.5%108 W · 94 L-0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Under78c63.84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8419461.9%120 W · 74 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over32c62.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under64c61.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9722760.4%137 W · 90 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over39c61.74$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.085944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over24c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.438748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over41c57.88$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.737949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over40c57.77$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0733161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under60c55.18$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x473e…c0f6backed Over19c54.13$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.42737%10 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked Over27c53.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.222240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3323…f667backed Over39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Over41c50.47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.698353%44 W · 39 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over36c48.47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4524757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Over41c47.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2917061.2%104 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under60c45.45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1835759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over40c43.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.519344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3bcd…ac63backed Under60c40.38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164367.4%29 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9fc…c14abacked Under79c39.05$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+57.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf282…1637backed Over41c39.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5101…c159backed Over40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-45.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Over40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521457.5%123 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Under60c36.76$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.73135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-33.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x42e6…4c6abacked Over40c35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over40c35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420441.7%85 W · 119 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7296…69f5backed Over41c34.91$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.31520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.