Other European Leagues · resolved market
Rio Ave FC vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa723dea3eb9e253b08629b4fe13f92cddf40d8a8b895947f5463de589a39d520
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 31c | 1,152$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.59 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 544.27$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.28 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 69c | 486.96$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.96 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 33c | 417.71$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.47 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 71c | 377.73$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.74 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Over | 70c | 358.72$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.72 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 68c | 350$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 88 | 73.9%65 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 31c | 349.52$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.55 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 31c | 158.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe86…9b6bbacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 30c | 91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f5…a64fbacked Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 32c | 62.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2383…e639backed Over | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb499…09d8backed Over | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5f…b453backed Over | 69c | 34.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 69c | 30.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d04…e037backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6f…5a01backed Over | 70c | 18.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…0140backed Over | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rio Ave FC vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Rio Ave FC vs. Moreirense FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Moreirense FC (-1.5)Rio Ave FC won
- Spread: Moreirense FC (-2.5)Rio Ave FC won
- Spread: Rio Ave FC (-1.5)Moreirense FC won
- Spread: Rio Ave FC (-2.5)Moreirense FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.