Other European Leagues · resolved market
Rio Ave FC vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb68810bbd2d29ed76f53c3dd87d6c345743e9558040faf623b66127ab35ce125
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 2,982$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.84 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 59c | 1,602$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.05 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 23c | 1,249$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.38 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 36c | 999$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.64 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Over | 55c | 908.69$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 80c | 770.06$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.69 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 663.34$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.66 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 20c | 499$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 61c | 419.99$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.27 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 69c | 410.34$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.21 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 53c | 392.45$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 49c | 306.3$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 88 | 73.9%65 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 40c | 249.19$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.74 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 47c | 237.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 46c | 221.74$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 29c | 215.24$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 23c | 160$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Over | 38c | 130$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1b…4b36backed Under | 70c | 127.87$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 55c | 114.11$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 108.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.74 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 27c | 108.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 27c | 74.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 23c | 68.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…a929backed Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 38c | 62.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Over | 54c | 61.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…ddb5backed Over | 39c | 52.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Under | 46c | 47.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 69cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 43c | 46.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 24c | 44.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 39c | 44.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 28c | 44.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Over | 47c | 25.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…ef4cbacked Under | 57c | 18.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rio Ave FC vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Rio Ave FC vs. Moreirense FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Moreirense FC (-1.5)Rio Ave FC won
- Spread: Moreirense FC (-2.5)Rio Ave FC won
- Spread: Rio Ave FC (-1.5)Moreirense FC won
- Spread: Rio Ave FC (-2.5)Moreirense FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.