Other European Leagues · resolved market
Rio Ave FC vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72114add1fc12d0b4f5425a95d8222bc4e098497e5c207e5698ddef7f1fd3151
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked Over | 70c | 4,303$3,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.12 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 30c | 1,767$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.81 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 1,444$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.44 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 33c | 1,141$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.56 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 73c | 1,122$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.56 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 874.03$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.98 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…dc6bbacked Over | 37c | 814.39$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.81 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 42c | 813.85$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.69 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 58c | 517.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 34c | 234$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.71 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 65c | 160.95$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 31c | 140.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 57c | 135$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.95 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 56c | 128$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 58c | 115.27$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.33 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 57c | 115$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 57c | 112$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 42c | 108.12$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.71 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Under | 59c | 107.12$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 44c | 99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 57c | 90$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 57c | 90$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 57c | 59.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…29c5backed Over | 68c | 59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…0a40backed Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 65c | 49.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc7…ff41backed Over | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Under | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked Under | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…120fbacked Over | 42c | 31.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf553…a85cbacked Under | 59c | 27.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…a929backed Over | 72c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5682…fbc9backed Over | 42c | 27.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Under | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Under | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 55c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 73c | 15.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rio Ave FC vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Rio Ave FC vs. Moreirense FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Moreirense FC (-1.5)Rio Ave FC won
- Spread: Moreirense FC (-2.5)Rio Ave FC won
- Spread: Rio Ave FC (-1.5)Moreirense FC won
- Spread: Rio Ave FC (-2.5)Moreirense FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.