Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33b0109d7981541c44a9fab196f519f69c4913972021a03053fa13a8dddac600
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $618,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $661,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $618,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 343 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Yes | 43c | 138,245$58,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,782.63 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 58c | 91,500$52,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,549.87 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Yes | 39c | 78,718$30,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,699.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Yes | 40c | 67,009$26,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,803.4 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 60c | 50,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 61c | 30,000$18,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,700 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 61c | 27,000$16,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,530 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 59c | 25,504$15,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,345.28 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 60c | 22,000$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,800 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed No | 58c | 19,980$11,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,437.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 59c | 19,870$11,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,215.01 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 58c | 19,830$11,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,328.6 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 59c | 19,817$11,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,124.94 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 56c | 16,068$8,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,098.59 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 14,089$9,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,214.9 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…b809backed No | 56c | 13,759$7,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,041.95 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…da98backed No | 61c | 12,220$7,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,765.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Yes | 43c | 11,628$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 42c | 10,859$4,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,557.41 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 8,834$5,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,505.05 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Yes | 38c | 7,798$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 36c | 7,444$2,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,716.79 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Yes | 43c | 6,634$2,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,852.66 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 42c | 6,467$2,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,697.63 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 42c | 6,314$2,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,677.28 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed No | 54c | 5,557$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,556.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 60c | 5,509$3,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205.97 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 55c | 5,238$2,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,341.6 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 58c | 5,032$2,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,105.24 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac5…cd3dbacked Yes | 43c | 4,651$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 59c | 4,226$2,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.5 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 4,038$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.16 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 58c | 3,850$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.37 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 40c | 3,554$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.94 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked No | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cc…791fbacked No | 62c | 3,500$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 19c | 3,462$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 57c | 3,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +10.4wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.94 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…9f77backed No | 60c | 2,995$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 38c | 2,986$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.59 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe81e…3640backed Yes | 44c | 2,862$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.64 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed No | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.58 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 60c | 2,613$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.56 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e8…b85ebacked Yes | 47c | 2,553$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…abcebacked Yes | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebae…fb79backed Yes | 39c | 1,795$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 56c | 1,680$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.2 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…5dfebacked No | 61c | 1,674$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 41c | 1,657$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 57c | 1,612$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.35 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed No | 57c | 1,594$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.22 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 57c | 1,560$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.69 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 53c | 1,524$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.02 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 58c | 1,413$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.38 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 54c | 1,388$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.48 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked No | 59c | 1,340$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.4 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed No | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 42c | 1,154$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.77 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 61c | 1,122$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.58 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 43c | 1,120$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.6 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6de1backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…ce68backed Yes | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 43c | 981.5$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.36 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 57c | 937$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.07 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 62c | 929.03$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…44a6backed Yes | 46c | 858.7$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 41c | 856$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.44 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 12c | 800$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 45c | 735.56$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 35c | 714.28$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.32 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Yes | 46c | 714$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.51 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 46c | 701$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.46 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 56c | 696.75$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.01 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 44c | 672$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.9 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10f9…9d91backed No | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +141.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Yes | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 47c | 640.75$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab9…361dbacked Yes | 47c | 617.02$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 62c | 614.5$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…b04abacked Yes | 40c | 601$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 78c | 600$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked No | 56c | 537.5$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 43c | 534.88$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 48c | 525$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…c875backed Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…ad00backed Yes | 42c | 499.44$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 41c | 474.59$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 57c | 460$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.8 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…8e52backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de3…2fc5backed No | 60c | 450.5$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 56c | 446$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.24 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 56c | 446$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.24 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?Yes won
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.