TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$288,421
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$314,334

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,421 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Yes52c131,646$69,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,558.548743.7%38 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No47c50,000$23,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,5006437.5%24 W · 40 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87a1…b6babacked No48c40,367$19,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,3764070%28 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked No48c29,064$13,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,950.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes80c23,505$18,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,806.3996942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No33c19,761$6,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,542.832,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3de4…b032backed No47c18,993$8,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,926.73862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No21c12,801$2,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,736.931,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Yes53c12,745$6,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,989.966659.1%39 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f42…a8febacked Yes53c12,273$6,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,766.655154.9%28 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No47c10,617$4,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,989.926346%29 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No43c10,565$4,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,514.059950.5%50 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No47c6,129$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,880.498941.6%37 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes53c5,604$2,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,625.737546.7%35 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes53c4,859$2,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,283.734445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No15c4,739$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.5349850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No47c4,208$1,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,962.1568750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes53c4,021$2,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,889.7533951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x981c…306fbacked Yes76c3,116$2,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.77875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+47.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No3c2,669$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.194463.6%28 W · 16 L+6.4wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes80c1,844$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.777145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed No46c1,414$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No47c1,402$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.942138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked No48c1,259$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.531353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfe8…3684backed Yes76c1,183$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.851050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes53c987.99$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.9948144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No20c959.72$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.4441144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No47c703.09$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.4218951.3%97 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes52c672.55$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.7641954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked No19c670.1$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.384746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5922…bf1cbacked Yes78c641.42$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked No15c632.67$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.93026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked Yes55c624.21$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.761163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+41.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No16c613.14$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.114159.6%84 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No16c593.5$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9617354.3%94 W · 79 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No16c567.01$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7219154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes78c542.49$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.9311053.6%59 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No42c506.56$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.5415244.1%67 W · 85 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x046c…8ca3backed No8c447.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.95333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-45.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No3c446.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2920431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71fd…1397backed Yes79c437.46$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.871070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes53c400.64$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.513553.3%72 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No47c392.73$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.5898544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e5f…6cecbacked Yes51c386.39$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea3…a8aebacked Yes52c369.21$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.226100%6 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+89%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes53c366.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.363537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No47c356.99$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.7935646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1246…9fbdbacked Yes76c343.43$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.341291.7%11 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick74cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x28b7…474fbacked Yes80c320$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes75c319.57$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.33243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No45c312.49$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.6238547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No8c310.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.252050%10 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14132854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90fc…064fbacked Yes54c295.61$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.982560%15 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No16c278.92$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6319952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13f7…13adbacked Yes52c268.95$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.092100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcd0…b52fbacked Yes54c265.28$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.32966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+43.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed No16c265.22$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.752965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No47c250$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.539354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Yes78c249.32$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.52744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes54c234.1$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.683756.8%21 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Yes53c220.03$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.415253.8%28 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes73c219.32$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes53c201.69$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.83348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Yes53c200$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes54c194.48$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4610757%61 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Yes53c194.36$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x322e…a2cebacked Yes52c193$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.642931%9 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes76c190.98$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.667160.6%43 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.253520%7 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Yes51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.253850%19 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9058…a2c2backed No14c189.68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.562646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No47c187.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.353452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+32.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xef9c…7b3fbacked No24c186.72$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.01911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-80%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6af…05c6backed Yes53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.181656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Yes53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.184365.1%28 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Yes53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.181866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+103.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Yes53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.182650%13 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.18650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3720…a4c9backed Yes53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Yes53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1821650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4791…07f8backed Yes54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.831250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+30.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11cc…4817backed Yes54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.83450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63c4…26f2backed No48c177.74$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.31540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad64…50a7backed Yes80c174.51$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…e9d3backed Yes76c172.05$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.98771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Yes50c170.72$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.363333.3%11 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No47c170.69$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.141943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0168…0905backed Yes53c170.01$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.91266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No48c160.82$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.194932.7%16 W · 33 L-6.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No27c159.88$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8914752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabd5…e713backed No18c159.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.911040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-43.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No19c150.46$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.158453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e4…d947backed No48c142.73$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.51540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No17c141.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5413653.7%73 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Yes78c126.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.836358.7%37 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes54c126.05$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.983461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No24c124.07$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6610451%53 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No47c116.18$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.616560%39 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No47c114.47$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.87045.7%32 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.