Tennis · resolved market
Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Emilio Nava vs Laslo Djere
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ca4a15bb1041e209ac2fe7fd7cbdbe2cee555fb4481f40749ae030448eb4747
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Djereof Nava, Djere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Nava | 23c | 4,454$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.09 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Djere | 68c | 4,213$2,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.17 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Djere | 63c | 2,178$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.46 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Nava | 35c | 1,431$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked Nava | 58c | 1,384$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.51 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Nava | 61c | 1,317$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Djere | 66c | 1,309$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.78 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Djere | 42c | 1,214$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.73 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Nava | 26c | 1,168$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.32 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Djere | 59c | 1,157$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.64 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Nava | 19c | 1,096$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.97 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Nava | 22c | 1,094$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.04 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Nava | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Nava | 30c | 829.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Djere | 68c | 690.57$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.93 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272b…0a6ebacked Djere | 67c | 666$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.78 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Nava | 63c | 607.94$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…c9b0backed Djere | 46c | 602.68$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Nava | 55c | 478.84$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.59 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…c018backed Djere | 79c | 435.39$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Djere | 59c | 333.91$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.41 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Djere | 46c | 316.64$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.64 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nava | 12c | 282.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Djere | 73c | 258.98$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.92 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Djere | 42c | 239.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.19 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Djere | 77c | 239.47$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Djere | 44c | 224.81$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.81 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Nava | 26c | 207.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Nava | 27c | 197.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.22 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Nava | 32c | 187.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Djere | 41c | 181$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.13 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Djere | 39c | 160$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.84 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Djere | 71c | 155.18$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Djere | 75c | 139.57$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3904backed Djere | 77c | 130.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Djere | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Djere | 44c | 123.82$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Djere | 38c | 121.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.63 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Nava | 10c | 111.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 138 | 16.7%23 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2596…0431backed Djere | 69c | 110.14$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Nava | 57c | 93.07$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Nava | 12c | 91.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8069…30e3backed Djere | 78c | 89.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcff4…d53cbacked Nava | 57c | 68.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Djere | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 191 | 67%128 W · 63 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…b253backed Djere | 71c | 57.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…b2cdbacked Nava | 59c | 55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Nava | 36c | 54.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Nava | 27c | 52.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Djere | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…1fd5backed Djere | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed Djere | 75c | 49.29$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Nava | 46c | 45.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Nava | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…6705backed Djere | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nava | 57c | 39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…907bbacked Nava | 41c | 36.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nava | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Djere | 70c | 30.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…bf70backed Djere | 73c | 30.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…1b11backed Djere | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfac6…cea2backed Djere | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c9…7863backed Djere | 67c | 29.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dc…17d8backed Djere | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a6…149ebacked Djere | 71c | 22.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed Djere | 63c | 22.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Djere | 57c | 21.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked Djere | 68c | 20.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x077a…ec51backed Djere | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Djere | 59c | 17.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…5729backed Nava | 62c | 16.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.