TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Valentin Royer

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Etcheverryof Etcheverry, Royer
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,609
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,303

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,609 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc933…5366backed Royer49c18,689$9,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,150.55911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick44cpaid-69.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Etcheverry51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9006541.5%27 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Royer0c6,259$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.178713.8%12 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-59.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Etcheverry60c6,083$3,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,408.9531647.8%151 W · 165 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Etcheverry51c4,765$2,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,334.7113852.9%73 W · 65 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Royer28c4,622$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.478,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Royer1c4,111$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.392,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Royer51c4,027$2,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,052.1816825%42 W · 126 L-14.2wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6757…7ecebacked Etcheverry51c2,800$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3723537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Royer26c1,948$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.552,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Etcheverry69c1,483$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.381,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Etcheverry54c1,460$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.6922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-61.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Etcheverry49c1,456$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.3127944.1%123 W · 156 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58a4…57d4backed Royer11c1,275$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-69.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7c2…51f9backed Royer48c1,038$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.972828.6%8 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Royer19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19010729%31 W · 76 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Royer8c928.22$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.532,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Etcheverry72c828.34$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.342458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Royer18c824.61$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.436855.9%38 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Royer16c809.53$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.832,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Etcheverry49c740.67$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.745446.3%25 W · 29 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x06eb…1a5fbacked Etcheverry69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.645265.4%34 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Royer40c701.42$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.047,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Royer13c608$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9858021.9%127 W · 453 L+2.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe758…c5afbacked Etcheverry71c556.72$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.29540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-43.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Royer3c551.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.181565.8%9 W · 147 L-32.4wins-0.21per pick27cpaid-64.6%equal weight30-0.18 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Royer18c534$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.011,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Etcheverry49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25529636.8%109 W · 187 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Royer20c444$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.826921.2%57 W · 212 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Etcheverry68c403.42$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.382,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Etcheverry59c386.78$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.5823847.1%112 W · 126 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Etcheverry52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6278152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b4f…37b8backed Etcheverry53c365.89$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.972100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a7a…7181backed Royer28c358.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61b6…6ab2backed Etcheverry49c357$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.072100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Royer44c337.11$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.072,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff8…aa3abacked Royer28c333$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.24540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Etcheverry52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.463839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Etcheverry49c272$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.721,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Royer24c265.68$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.531,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0c1…465abacked Etcheverry56c250$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Etcheverry50c243.6$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea63…682cbacked Royer8c221.16$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Etcheverry49c207.08$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.612958.6%17 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+25.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Etcheverry49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.082245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf15a…6df2backed Royer25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Royer29c199.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Royer33c167.52$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2828726.8%77 W · 210 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Royer28c160$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.816446.3%76 W · 88 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Etcheverry73c159.23$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4528139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03e4…85b4backed Etcheverry76c143.1$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.06560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Royer41c142.54$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7934842.2%147 W · 201 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Etcheverry55c135.31$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.282937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4ea…ed2ebacked Etcheverry59c125$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.256058.3%35 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed Royer43c119.47$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3714744.2%65 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Royer23c116.81$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4822236.9%82 W · 140 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Etcheverry49c114.79$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5424448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Royer27c103.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2817432.2%56 W · 118 L-15.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xde64…382ebacked Etcheverry49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.041070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Royer50c100.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4365849.4%325 W · 333 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8061…9eb5backed Etcheverry51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Etcheverry51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4946649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x303b…53cabacked Royer22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2230%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Etcheverry49c85$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3515646.8%73 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc840…0650backed Royer51c85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.35837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa675…f477backed Royer27c84.68$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.82450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Royer33c81.8$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.188455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe09e…5047backed Royer27c80.66$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.747444.6%33 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7690…dfcebacked Royer25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2034637.9%131 W · 215 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Etcheverry55c73.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9893055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…4b19backed Etcheverry72c72.01$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.461241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Etcheverry72c69.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8342358.6%248 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Etcheverry49c68.5$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.632626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24ac…f6b4backed Royer32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb815…342fbacked Royer38c59.75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.834566.7%30 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Royer47c55.45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.838947.3%184 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c1…e644backed Etcheverry73c54.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.674266.7%28 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Etcheverry59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.852,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Etcheverry59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8512752%66 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ede…d6a7backed Royer33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.743745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4bc…bd4dbacked Etcheverry70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Etcheverry53c48.27$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.581,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d66…0e16backed Etcheverry60c48.12$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.255851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c60…2227backed Royer40c48.12$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2510532.4%34 W · 71 L-10.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked Royer52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2560661.2%371 W · 235 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76b5…290ebacked Etcheverry74c47.21$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb768…b6f7backed Royer27c44.65$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.03837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-33.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ff…1326backed Royer27c42.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9651…0891backed Royer27c42.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3829…dea6backed Royer25c42.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.65728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick41cpaid+23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80e2…9ff7backed Royer52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204438.6%17 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73c4…a92dbacked Royer46c37.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.465038%19 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd36…19bebacked Etcheverry54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed Royer34c35.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2711553%61 W · 54 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28bb…d0d6backed Royer44c35.22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.565050%25 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Etcheverry72c34.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7219167%128 W · 63 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfda5…bb92backed Etcheverry58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.48837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick64cpaid-43.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6467…7cadbacked Etcheverry71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171392.3%12 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick69cpaid+35%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ba8…90a3backed Royer48c27.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.448852.9%258 W · 230 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc011…bf70backed Etcheverry73c26.12$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.05977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.