Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs BAIYAWAK (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e0fdc51d36f254286e07a9e6973f9bce6e24d7f5e416bf233ed825b8cce108f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yangon Galacticosof Yangon Galacticos, BAIYAWAK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked BAIYAWAK | 64c | 8,622$5,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,513.27 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yangon Galacticos | 39c | 4,979$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,057.91 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb76f…8536backed Yangon Galacticos | 45c | 3,108$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.87 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Yangon Galacticos | 38c | 2,600$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.1 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed BAIYAWAK | 57c | 2,258$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.2 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked BAIYAWAK | 62c | 1,643$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.89 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Yangon Galacticos | 39c | 1,312$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.45 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed BAIYAWAK | 2c | 806.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed BAIYAWAK | 62c | 722$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Yangon Galacticos | 38c | 599.95$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.97 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed BAIYAWAK | 68c | 586$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.43 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Yangon Galacticos | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed BAIYAWAK | 68c | 443.72$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.73 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed BAIYAWAK | 48c | 391.19$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.38 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…d732backed BAIYAWAK | 34c | 387.14$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.07 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2471…8622backed BAIYAWAK | 25c | 350$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yangon Galacticos | 36c | 342.43$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.5 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed Yangon Galacticos | 44c | 340.15$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed BAIYAWAK | 62c | 288.71$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yangon Galacticos | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8498…d219backed Yangon Galacticos | 43c | 113.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed BAIYAWAK | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yangon Galacticos | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked BAIYAWAK | 61c | 97.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked BAIYAWAK | 43c | 97.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 785 | 41.7%327 W · 458 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfd…2f8ebacked Yangon Galacticos | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…acc7backed BAIYAWAK | 66c | 91.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed Yangon Galacticos | 39c | 88.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yangon Galacticos | 44c | 83.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.86 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Yangon Galacticos | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdff…265ebacked Yangon Galacticos | 40c | 74.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed BAIYAWAK | 58c | 65.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed Yangon Galacticos | 38c | 55.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Yangon Galacticos | 75c | 55.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked Yangon Galacticos | 43c | 55.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked BAIYAWAK | 64c | 55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…43c2backed Yangon Galacticos | 42c | 53.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +136%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yangon Galacticos | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 170 | 23.5%40 W · 130 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked BAIYAWAK | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 238 | 49.6%118 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7378…2abfbacked BAIYAWAK | 67c | 44.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Yangon Galacticos | 44c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 47 | 10.6%5 W · 42 L | -12.0wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x11fa…ebf3backed BAIYAWAK | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked BAIYAWAK | 55c | 38.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…bf70backed BAIYAWAK | 60c | 34.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yangon Galacticos | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…ac26backed BAIYAWAK | 62c | 33.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…de18backed BAIYAWAK | 63c | 31.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4f…b109backed BAIYAWAK | 65c | 30.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Yangon Galacticos | 38c | 30.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Yangon Galacticos | 48c | 30.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Yangon Galacticos | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Yangon Galacticos | 47c | 29.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked BAIYAWAK | 72c | 26.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Yangon Galacticos | 75c | 23.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…fb57backed BAIYAWAK | 60c | 22.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked BAIYAWAK | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked BAIYAWAK | 58c | 19.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs BAIYAWAK (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs BAIYAWAK - Game 1 WinnerYangon Galacticos won
- Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs BAIYAWAK - Game 2 WinnerBAIYAWAK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.