Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International: Tereza Valentova vs Anna Kalinskaya
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06595304ce86afccdf5f637db04d0d0b6e4016d437da9877b02b290bff118ec6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kalinskayaof Valentova, Kalinskaya
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Valentova | 25c | 3,193$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.61 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Kalinskaya | 75c | 2,663$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.81 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Valentova | 29c | 1,534$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.02 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Valentova | 53c | 1,488$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.62 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Valentova | 26c | 1,422$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.69 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Kalinskaya | 79c | 1,394$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.47 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Valentova | 17c | 1,313$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.88 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Kalinskaya | 34c | 1,301$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.44 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Valentova | 57c | 1,273$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Valentova | 19c | 1,177$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.58 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Kalinskaya | 61c | 987.79$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.79 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kalinskaya | 43c | 755.29$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.26 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Kalinskaya | 34c | 738.55$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.88 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Valentova | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Valentova | 60c | 621.97$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Valentova | 11c | 473.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Kalinskaya | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Valentova | 40c | 413.39$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.1 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Kalinskaya | 40c | 314.59$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.75 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Valentova | 51c | 308.76$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.63 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Kalinskaya | 71c | 300.56$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.96 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…edaabacked Valentova | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Valentova | 57c | 279.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Valentova | 67c | 277$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.63 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Kalinskaya | 73c | 222.49$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.07 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…c3e1backed Kalinskaya | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Kalinskaya | 55c | 192.8$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Valentova | 65c | 170.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Kalinskaya | 32c | 155.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Valentova | 9c | 145.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…f1a3backed Valentova | 19c | 144.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Valentova | 30c | 134.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kalinskaya | 70c | 125.1$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Kalinskaya | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x554f…afb4backed Valentova | 23c | 93.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…7a49backed Valentova | 14c | 80.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Valentova | 16c | 78.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9004…1d2cbacked Valentova | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Kalinskaya | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Valentova | 31c | 54.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…bf70backed Kalinskaya | 72c | 50.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Kalinskaya | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 341 | 54.3%185 W · 156 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0d03backed Valentova | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 166 | 57.8%96 W · 70 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…d044backed Kalinskaya | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…584dbacked Valentova | 59c | 37.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Kalinskaya | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfac6…cea2backed Kalinskaya | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57e0…3878backed Kalinskaya | 37c | 29.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed Kalinskaya | 43c | 29.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Kalinskaya | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kalinskaya | 41c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed Valentova | 47c | 26.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4738backed Valentova | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Valentova | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Valentova | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.