Lol · resolved market
Will Top Esports win LPL 2026 Split 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb14da53691df0c2c422a309189127d4d13532c76fe2ff5d3498f0ed72a1f246
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Yes | 20c | 1,888$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.54 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 77c | 813.02$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.21 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7944…bb18backed Yes | 32c | 657.31$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.91 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed No | 65c | 652.54$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.9 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…c2c2backed Yes | 35c | 536.3$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.43 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked No | 67c | 436.09$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 69c | 427.99$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.08 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 71c | 416$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.43 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4c…d5dbbacked Yes | 26c | 412.94$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.11 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked No | 67c | 376.96$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.93 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked No | 60c | 286.08$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.43 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…bd55backed Yes | 39c | 285.06$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 79c | 280.01$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.66 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -70%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…f625backed Yes | 14c | 278.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 389 | 53.2%207 W · 182 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…767cbacked Yes | 24c | 240.08$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 101 | 40.6%41 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 76c | 225$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1533…fc9bbacked No | 74c | 210$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 13c | 189$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 26c | 165$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 31c | 163.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 181 | 21%38 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 77c | 162.26$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fe…8b90backed Yes | 20c | 137.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 9c | 131.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 65c | 121$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…53afbacked Yes | 15c | 106.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Yes | 32c | 103.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…42ebbacked Yes | 20c | 100.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 39c | 88.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 337 | 36.5%123 W · 214 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 68c | 87.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 14c | 84.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 71c | 71.19$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…dcf7backed Yes | 17c | 67.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82cd…d7d8backed Yes | 32c | 61.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a2…7cbbbacked No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 62c | 59.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 71c | 55.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 67c | 52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x364e…1996backed Yes | 54c | 51.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 69c | 51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 246 | 43.1%106 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5a…0088backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 493 | 61.5%303 W · 190 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…2c89backed No | 66c | 46.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 62c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 74c | 42.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 29c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa74…78b9backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 66c | 36.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 77c | 35.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f2…e77abacked No | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…26babacked Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 67c | 28.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 69c | 26.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73c1…28f3backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf2…dfa9backed No | 70c | 24.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6714…fad2backed No | 66c | 22.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 79c | 21.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd8…7aedbacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc76f…7d65backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Top Esports win LPL 2026 Split 2?this page
- Will Anyone's Legend win LPL 2026 Split 2?No won
- Will Bilibili Gaming win LPL 2026 Split 2?Yes won
- Will Invictus Gaming win LPL 2026 Split 2?No won
- Will JD Gaming win LPL 2026 Split 2?No won
- Will Team WE win LPL 2026 Split 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.