Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d254e5abe944d1f2ae938acc9364365105a0aaf331a51de38a292adf86d2c91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EDward Gamingof Wolves Esports, EDward Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Wolves Esports | 21c | 4,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.98 | 267 | 38.2%102 W · 165 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…b756backed Wolves Esports | 20c | 3,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Wolves Esports | 22c | 2,924$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.22 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…a999backed EDward Gaming | 79c | 2,625$2,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.16 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked EDward Gaming | 79c | 1,990$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.54 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked EDward Gaming | 78c | 1,910$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.14 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Wolves Esports | 19c | 1,732$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.08 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked EDward Gaming | 78c | 1,357$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.1 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Wolves Esports | 19c | 899.98$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked EDward Gaming | 80c | 778.29$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.66 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Wolves Esports | 20c | 777$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Wolves Esports | 20c | 627.42$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.29 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed EDward Gaming | 79c | 622$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.18 | 348 | 57.5%200 W · 148 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Wolves Esports | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a9…769ebacked EDward Gaming | 79c | 350$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…afdabacked Wolves Esports | 21c | 333.41$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.02 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef9a…f58dbacked EDward Gaming | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64a9…09ecbacked EDward Gaming | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453b…db4abacked EDward Gaming | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae5…5d19backed EDward Gaming | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x195a…f955backed EDward Gaming | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…e8b6backed EDward Gaming | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c44…5d15backed Wolves Esports | 22c | 299.63$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8788…4e20backed EDward Gaming | 79c | 298$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.58 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3192…71fbbacked EDward Gaming | 79c | 296.22$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.21 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…2108backed EDward Gaming | 79c | 296$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…a0a7backed Wolves Esports | 21c | 285.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66d5…ee81backed Wolves Esports | 21c | 285.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf904…495dbacked Wolves Esports | 21c | 285.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…b5a8backed Wolves Esports | 21c | 285.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…083cbacked Wolves Esports | 21c | 285.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b95…04bbbacked Wolves Esports | 21c | 285.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c85…5cd6backed Wolves Esports | 21c | 285.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Wolves Esports | 20c | 285.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f6…28c6backed Wolves Esports | 21c | 280.06$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.81 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x548e…9d41backed EDward Gaming | 79c | 276$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3bb…e26bbacked Wolves Esports | 21c | 262.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8429…694cbacked EDward Gaming | 79c | 246.85$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc8…a2e4backed Wolves Esports | 22c | 238.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Wolves Esports | 6c | 233.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 175 | 37.7%66 W · 109 L | -14.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed Wolves Esports | 15c | 193.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 333 | 46.5%155 W · 178 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ba…ee0ebacked Wolves Esports | 10c | 179.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Wolves Esports | 11c | 162.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a3…1090backed EDward Gaming | 80c | 143.25$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed EDward Gaming | 80c | 141.46$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed EDward Gaming | 79c | 124.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e5…8ce3backed Wolves Esports | 12c | 118.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Wolves Esports | 22c | 115.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked EDward Gaming | 78c | 113.86$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Wolves Esports | 10c | 110.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Wolves Esports | 11c | 105.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Wolves Esports | 10c | 104.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked EDward Gaming | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Wolves Esports | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x364e…1996backed EDward Gaming | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Wolves Esports | 21c | 99.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Wolves Esports | 13c | 97.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 351 | 42.5%149 W · 202 L | -14.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1506…4690backed EDward Gaming | 80c | 67.76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe58…dfc2backed EDward Gaming | 80c | 61.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wolves Esports | 19c | 59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c94…5b86backed Wolves Esports | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed EDward Gaming | 79c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe251…c019backed EDward Gaming | 79c | 49.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed EDward Gaming | 79c | 47.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…e14cbacked EDward Gaming | 80c | 37.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…efaabacked EDward Gaming | 80c | 34.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea25…2a4fbacked EDward Gaming | 79c | 27.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +225.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbebc…e19abacked EDward Gaming | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…db0cbacked EDward Gaming | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed EDward Gaming | 79c | 22.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…94b2backed EDward Gaming | 80c | 17.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Wolves Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegathis page
- Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Wolves Esports (+1.5)EDward Gaming won
- Valorant: Wolves Esports vs EDward Gaming - Map 1 WinnerEDward Gaming won
- Valorant: Wolves Esports vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 WinnerEDward Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.