Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef6662c5d2bd5dc9b81ecf3117be7005c833bb7db1b00b08d1378cd5ec919eba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EDward Gamingof Wolves Esports, EDward Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked EDward Gaming | 65c | 594.03$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.58 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Wolves Esports | 23c | 319.59$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed EDward Gaming | 71c | 316.92$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.93 | 342 | 53.2%182 W · 160 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Wolves Esports | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed EDward Gaming | 77c | 252.32$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.28 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed EDward Gaming | 71c | 177.76$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Wolves Esports | 23c | 168.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked EDward Gaming | 67c | 140$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked EDward Gaming | 72c | 136.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Wolves Esports | 27c | 121.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed Wolves Esports | 30c | 108.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Wolves Esports | 32c | 98.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…8a03backed Wolves Esports | 27c | 95.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…25bdbacked EDward Gaming | 74c | 85.53$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…95dcbacked EDward Gaming | 69c | 85.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Wolves Esports | 31c | 63.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Wolves Esports | 31c | 63.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4a…8c46backed Wolves Esports | 66c | 60.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed Wolves Esports | 41c | 46.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed EDward Gaming | 75c | 39.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 263 | 54.4%143 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Wolves Esports | 26c | 39.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…db0cbacked EDward Gaming | 70c | 39.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wolves Esports | 30c | 39.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…2918backed Wolves Esports | 28c | 37.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed EDward Gaming | 68c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Wolves Esports | 30c | 35.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fa…a8f4backed EDward Gaming | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 88 | 65.9%58 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed EDward Gaming | 77c | 29.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 218 | 59.2%129 W · 89 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc18c…63dabacked Wolves Esports | 41c | 27.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Wolves Esports | 40c | 26.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Wolves Esports vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Wolves Esports (+1.5)EDward Gaming won
- Valorant: Wolves Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group OmegaEDward Gaming won
- Valorant: Wolves Esports vs EDward Gaming - Map 1 WinnerEDward Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.