Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0332bdf5f4e1ca800b7d9b5512e403f8675a0cc9b1b86531070fc81cf865650
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dragon Ranger Gamingof Dragon Ranger Gaming, Nova Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 78c | 3,817$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.1 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Nova Esports | 29c | 2,765$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.73 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Nova Esports | 26c | 2,056$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.58 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…c1bbbacked Nova Esports | 29c | 1,342$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.75 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 70c | 1,188$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.37 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 70c | 999.96$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 71c | 982.6$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.95 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 71c | 969.74$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.22 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Nova Esports | 29c | 901.69$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.49 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Nova Esports | 27c | 900$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed Nova Esports | 24c | 764.22$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.24 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Nova Esports | 30c | 735.74$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.72 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Nova Esports | 12c | 574.14$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nova Esports | 13c | 449.3$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Nova Esports | 3c | 446.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 79c | 404.39$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 73c | 402.51$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.12 | 234 | 47%110 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed52…2dbdbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 77c | 385.45$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Nova Esports | 30c | 383.2$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.96 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nova Esports | 12c | 290.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…97b6backed Nova Esports | 30c | 277.18$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.15 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 71c | 276.79$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.27 | 348 | 57.5%200 W · 148 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…a999backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 73c | 262.53$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.31 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Nova Esports | 23c | 223.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Nova Esports | 23c | 223.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Nova Esports | 24c | 217.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked Nova Esports | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Nova Esports | 23c | 151.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nova Esports | 17c | 147.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…bcf1backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 71c | 139.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 71c | 138.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Nova Esports | 13c | 134.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x364e…1996backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 78c | 126.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Nova Esports | 29c | 123.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb63…bea4backed Nova Esports | 29c | 120$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb00…2b37backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 71c | 117.91$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed Nova Esports | 30c | 111.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 78c | 104.23$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0d…32e1backed Nova Esports | 30c | 102.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nova Esports | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…7469backed Nova Esports | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b91…b1fbbacked Nova Esports | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 79c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Nova Esports | 20c | 99.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe73…6d77backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 71c | 98.26$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…4219backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 71c | 98.26$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Nova Esports | 28c | 96.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Nova Esports | 28c | 91.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nova Esports | 21c | 81.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Nova Esports | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 73c | 79.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Nova Esports | 28c | 78.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 76c | 78.12$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff09…80b5backed Nova Esports | 13c | 77.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Nova Esports | 14c | 72.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ba…ee0ebacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 73c | 69.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe644…76b6backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 71c | 67.79$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Nova Esports | 28c | 65.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 71c | 62.72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe58…dfc2backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Nova Esports | 30c | 47.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…8b01backed Nova Esports | 29c | 42.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 71c | 41.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Nova Esports | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 75c | 39.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 263 | 54.4%143 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f2…1183backed Nova Esports | 30c | 38.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Nova Esports | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 71c | 34.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 267 | 58.8%157 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…8763backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 71c | 24.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 79c | 17.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegathis page
- Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Nova Esports - Map 1 WinnerDragon Ranger Gaming won
- Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Nova Esports - Map 2 WinnerDragon Ranger Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.