Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs Any Questions Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63238da7f239ac9d305d24263aeb7e9ac26eb4de255db018d86cdb33ef68cce3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Any Questions Gamingof Wolves Esports, Any Questions Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,668 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Any Questions Gaming | 10c | 1,394$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.86 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Any Questions Gaming | 16c | 786.8$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.05 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb29…64f3backed Any Questions Gaming | 65c | 571.27$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Wolves Esports | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…a779backed Any Questions Gaming | 7c | 497.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Any Questions Gaming | 25c | 476.66$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.88 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Any Questions Gaming | 19c | 441.45$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.57 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Any Questions Gaming | 19c | 297.58$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.89 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Wolves Esports | 69c | 240.89$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.39 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed Wolves Esports | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Any Questions Gaming | 11c | 169.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +849.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31fa…a8f4backed Wolves Esports | 78c | 141$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.72 | 88 | 65.9%58 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Any Questions Gaming | 40c | 137.28$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.37 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Any Questions Gaming | 33c | 136.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.51 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Any Questions Gaming | 33c | 135.44$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.74 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…eb82backed Any Questions Gaming | 39c | 129.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.84 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Any Questions Gaming | 41c | 122.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.55 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d66…aa07backed Wolves Esports | 67c | 104.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3001…4ac2backed Any Questions Gaming | 18c | 101.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +189.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Any Questions Gaming | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5b…0324backed Any Questions Gaming | 35c | 99.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…b42dbacked Any Questions Gaming | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Any Questions Gaming | 39c | 69.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Any Questions Gaming | 34c | 65.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.48 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…203fbacked Any Questions Gaming | 41c | 61.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfee2…c654backed Any Questions Gaming | 33c | 60.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Any Questions Gaming | 32c | 56.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4878…739cbacked Any Questions Gaming | 23c | 54.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +330.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Any Questions Gaming | 20c | 50.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Wolves Esports | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…fec8backed Wolves Esports | 63c | 49.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Wolves Esports | 67c | 45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Any Questions Gaming | 25c | 44.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Any Questions Gaming | 30c | 44.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +15.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x364e…1996backed Wolves Esports | 70c | 42.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24e3…7311backed Any Questions Gaming | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73b6…5e37backed Wolves Esports | 67c | 35.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00d…4251backed Wolves Esports | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed Any Questions Gaming | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf8…5facbacked Wolves Esports | 74c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Wolves Esports | 64c | 21.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d3…5ea8backed Wolves Esports | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x039a…012dbacked Wolves Esports | 70c | 14.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbebc…e19abacked Wolves Esports | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Wolves Esports vs Any Questions Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 1 Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: Wolves Esports vs Any Questions Gaming - Map 2 WinnerAny Questions Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.