TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfee2…c654

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT3050%15 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigurbacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNallybacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$155.56
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Libema Open: Mia Pohankova vs Clara Tausonbacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Ashlyn Kruegerbacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+86.7%+$173.39
Perugia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$116.67
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Emiliana Arango vs Ella Seidelbacked Emiliana Arango · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$157.89
Hamburg European Open: Hugo Gaston vs Karen Khachanovbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.54
Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Clement Taburbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+32%+$64.52
Paris: Alina Charaeva vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Simona Waltert vs Hailey Baptistebacked Simona Waltert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marie Bouzkova vs Taylor Townsendbacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+94.6%+$56.75
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruudbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.11
Huzhou: Diletta Cherubini vs Ekaterina Reyngoldbacked Ekaterina Reyngold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.1
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.57
Madrid Open: Elise Mertens vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.48
Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$53.77
Madrid Open: Alycia Parks vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$141.38
Madrid Open: Patrick Kypson vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Patrick Kypson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.75
Madrid Open: Laura Siegemund vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$22.49
Savannah: Jack Kennedy vs Kei Nishikoribacked Kei Nishikori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.36
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
Valorant: Global Esports vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+26%+$23.56
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Team Secret (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1backed Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.3
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$276.24
Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.58
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$43.61
Valorant: JD Gaming vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.19
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs Any Questions Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 1 Playoffsbacked Any Questions Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+201.7%+$40.33
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$131.21
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$15.32
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$89.61
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$59.74
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$26.56
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick60cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.63
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$154.81
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$27.11
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$111.33
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$151
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$57.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$139.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.