Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Global Esports vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Pacific Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50bbabcca611a7b3dc65b4ad3b91ecc6c59f7e264c5c669a8d08cecbe3c461bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paper Rexof Global Esports, Paper Rex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Paper Rex | 75c | 6,907$5,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.75 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Global Esports | 1c | 6,133$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Global Esports | 25c | 6,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 267 | 38.2%102 W · 165 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Paper Rex | 74c | 5,249$3,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.78 | 289 | 55.7%161 W · 128 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Global Esports | 25c | 2,656$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.24 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa4…236cbacked Paper Rex | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Global Esports | 26c | 1,600$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Paper Rex | 75c | 1,511$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.83 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3f…75cfbacked Global Esports | 24c | 1,479$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.14 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Paper Rex | 75c | 1,030$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.42 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Global Esports | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Global Esports | 25c | 999.97$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Global Esports | 24c | 998.96$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.19 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Global Esports | 12c | 855.07$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Global Esports | 26c | 724.81$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.48 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…ab4abacked Global Esports | 26c | 724.47$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.1 | 254 | 44.9%114 W · 140 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Paper Rex | 75c | 709.55$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.39 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Paper Rex | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Global Esports | 13c | 621.86$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.02 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Global Esports | 24c | 620$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2322…1d17backed Global Esports | 13c | 610.72$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…5ff5backed Global Esports | 25c | 599.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Global Esports | 22c | 513.93$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.84 | 193 | 37.8%73 W · 120 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…ab32backed Global Esports | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b9…da59backed Global Esports | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…635cbacked Paper Rex | 75c | 480$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Global Esports | 5c | 434.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Global Esports | 3c | 365$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…e019backed Paper Rex | 75c | 332$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Global Esports | 26c | 330$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Global Esports | 25c | 329.67$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.65 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Global Esports | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed Global Esports | 10c | 284.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +127.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Global Esports | 13c | 278.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Global Esports | 6c | 232.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b6…f9e6backed Global Esports | 12c | 232.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Global Esports | 19c | 224.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed Global Esports | 9c | 220.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 333 | 46.5%155 W · 178 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Global Esports | 25c | 193.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…fe26backed Global Esports | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9b…59eabacked Global Esports | 10c | 188.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Global Esports | 6c | 180$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 351 | 42.5%149 W · 202 L | -14.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd20…24dabacked Global Esports | 16c | 158.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed Global Esports | 19c | 154.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae74…f528backed Global Esports | 13c | 114$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed Paper Rex | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Paper Rex | 76c | 98.68$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7dd…12f0backed Global Esports | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…2bb3backed Global Esports | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Global Esports | 13c | 89.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfee2…c654backed Global Esports | 13c | 85.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb3…9e69backed Global Esports | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd10f…bef4backed Global Esports | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Global Esports | 26c | 71.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82f2…27d4backed Global Esports | 21c | 66.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Paper Rex | 77c | 53.43$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Global Esports | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…086abacked Paper Rex | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Global Esports | 26c | 38.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…26aebacked Paper Rex | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3b10…523bbacked Paper Rex | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Paper Rex | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 184 | 65.2%120 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…4a1cbacked Paper Rex | 75c | 18.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Global Esports vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Pacific Playoffsthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5)Paper Rex won
- Valorant: Global Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 1 WinnerPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Global Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 2 WinnerPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Global Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 3 WinnerPaper Rex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.