Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Global Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a076efeffcd9f5a84b698d3e1eed422a08a5f46420fc383e71815fb144d7c0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paper Rexof Global Esports, Paper Rex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd4a…f91cbacked Paper Rex | 69c | 1,085$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Global Esports | 30c | 859.85$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.96 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd766…24e6backed Global Esports | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc4…f7eabacked Paper Rex | 79c | 507.52$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Global Esports | 36c | 499.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Global Esports | 45c | 420$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.9 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Paper Rex | 69c | 373.68$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.68 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Paper Rex | 70c | 344.87$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.87 | 348 | 57.5%200 W · 148 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Global Esports | 39c | 295.96$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.37 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Paper Rex | 58c | 279.65$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Global Esports | 21c | 256.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Global Esports | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Global Esports | 32c | 249.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…c2b8backed Global Esports | 34c | 249.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Paper Rex | 69c | 211$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Paper Rex | 58c | 204$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Paper Rex | 60c | 192.22$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.6 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Global Esports | 23c | 157.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…279bbacked Paper Rex | 53c | 155.77$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.75 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Paper Rex | 60c | 141.59$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e82…4cfbbacked Paper Rex | 63c | 129.44$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked Global Esports | 20c | 123.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Paper Rex | 64c | 79.25$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e42…b28cbacked Global Esports | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7f…e1edbacked Paper Rex | 70c | 65.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Global Esports | 39c | 60.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Paper Rex | 66c | 54.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ac…b7c9backed Global Esports | 59c | 53.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…b8e0backed Global Esports | 38c | 52.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ce…0f13backed Global Esports | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f48…0b0dbacked Global Esports | 51c | 46.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5d…d5dfbacked Paper Rex | 46c | 46.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe849…758bbacked Paper Rex | 73c | 43.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Paper Rex | 54c | 42.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9b…59eabacked Global Esports | 56c | 40.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Paper Rex | 40c | 38.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7a…52c9backed Global Esports | 38c | 34.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Paper Rex | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f2…ee56backed Paper Rex | 77c | 28.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Global Esports | 56c | 22.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcead…afeabacked Paper Rex | 70c | 21.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Global Esports | 63c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…288dbacked Paper Rex | 63c | 15.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Global Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5)Paper Rex won
- Valorant: Global Esports vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Pacific PlayoffsPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Global Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 1 WinnerPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Global Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 2 WinnerPaper Rex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.