Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Global Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47f9461ed582350f5d338c0049fdabfb2da057c349a9f9f0e0f86a886388a350
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paper Rexof Global Esports, Paper Rex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Global Esports | 29c | 1,305$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.36 | 932 | 48.1%448 W · 484 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Paper Rex | 71c | 366.2$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 351 | 57.3%201 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…24dfbacked Paper Rex | 79c | 297.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked Global Esports | 5c | 275.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Global Esports | 13c | 249.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Paper Rex | 71c | 210.73$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.93 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Paper Rex | 71c | 194$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Paper Rex | 73c | 168.26$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 1,612 | 45.1%727 W · 885 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Paper Rex | 75c | 124.95$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Global Esports | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1067…7a84backed Global Esports | 9c | 106.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f48…0b0dbacked Paper Rex | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Paper Rex | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 999 | 45.9%459 W · 540 L | -27.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7f…e1edbacked Paper Rex | 70c | 47.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcead…afeabacked Global Esports | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Paper Rex | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Paper Rex | 64c | 16.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Global Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5)Paper Rex won
- Valorant: Global Esports vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Pacific PlayoffsPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Global Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 1 WinnerPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Global Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 3 WinnerPaper Rex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.