Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Global Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36d15a1574181937a80d9e1f65b5f9105082a8c677a6d2de96163222670db3aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paper Rexof Global Esports, Paper Rex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Global Esports | 5c | 1,214$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.64 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Global Esports | 34c | 647.56$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.48 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed Paper Rex | 76c | 600.59$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.87 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed Global Esports | 2c | 504.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 102 | 17.6%18 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Global Esports | 34c | 499.98$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Paper Rex | 65c | 333$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.55 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked Global Esports | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked Paper Rex | 68c | 276.47$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.47 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +8.0wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f0…7b5bbacked Global Esports | 11c | 262.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…24dfbacked Global Esports | 16c | 223$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Paper Rex | 67c | 149.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Global Esports | 13c | 136.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Global Esports | 18c | 92.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Global Esports | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Global Esports | 19c | 77.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7a…52c9backed Global Esports | 23c | 56.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…b8e0backed Global Esports | 23c | 56.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Global Esports | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Paper Rex | 69c | 41.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Global Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5)Paper Rex won
- Valorant: Global Esports vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Pacific PlayoffsPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Global Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 2 WinnerPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Global Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 3 WinnerPaper Rex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.