Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x098cb7e11329d1ff318db45a6443e82443014cb982b62703a556a2498211f1dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paper Rexof Paper Rex, Global Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Global Esports | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.99 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Paper Rex | 54c | 917.95$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.26 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Paper Rex | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Paper Rex | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…1faabacked Paper Rex | 58c | 167.83$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.74 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Paper Rex | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Global Esports | 42c | 90.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Paper Rex | 55c | 88.29$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a1…7c9dbacked Global Esports | 45c | 73.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Global Esports | 43c | 70.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Paper Rex | 56c | 59.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed Global Esports | 44c | 53.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 263 | 54.4%143 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce42…5cddbacked Paper Rex | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Global Esports | 40c | 37.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Paper Rex | 53c | 30.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Global Esports | 40c | 30.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Global Esports | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Paper Rex | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Valorant: Global Esports vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Pacific PlayoffsPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Global Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 1 WinnerPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Global Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 2 WinnerPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Global Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 3 WinnerPaper Rex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.