MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf38eb2d29d50d9f0f56ca1e830000869450b1df455aaa62acd5bf2576636baac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,525,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,560,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,525,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 537 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked New York Yankees | 53c | 749,075$395,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353,925.08 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 194,688$91,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,503.46 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 100,063$48,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,030.24 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 97,698$46,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,205.19 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 90,679$42,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,618.93 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 73,657$35,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,855.46 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 67,808$32,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,967.56 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 43,000$20,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,639.85 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 40,311$19,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,758.6 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 35,000$16,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,800 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 32,054$15,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,138.03 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 9c | 20,834$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.5 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked New York Yankees | 52c | 20,578$10,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,882.91 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees | 62c | 19,204$11,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,273.33 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,050 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 14,587$7,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,001.75 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Yankees | 52c | 14,069$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,753.23 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees | 47c | 13,426$6,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,056.35 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed New York Yankees | 54c | 12,800$6,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,888 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 12,607$5,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,276.06 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 12,500$6,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,090 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…e403backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 11,424$6,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,283.03 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 11,149$5,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,803.12 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed New York Yankees | 51c | 10,975$5,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,377.87 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd6…1fa0backed New York Yankees | 48c | 10,239$4,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,324.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 10,112$4,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,955 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 10,053$5,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,179.19 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed New York Yankees | 51c | 9,961$5,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,880.67 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Yankees | 52c | 9,036$4,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,353.71 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 52c | 8,196$4,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,970.77 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 7,998$3,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,759.02 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439c…8a28backed New York Yankees | 43c | 6,977$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,976.74 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 6,515$3,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,062.05 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed New York Yankees | 51c | 6,471$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,170.59 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked New York Yankees | 44c | 6,200$2,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,494 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6285…3f5abacked New York Yankees | 46c | 6,180$2,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,342.38 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.1wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -70%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed New York Yankees | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.23 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 5,274$2,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,796.49 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees | 40c | 5,179$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.09 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed New York Yankees | 51c | 4,812$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,358.02 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed New York Yankees | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed New York Yankees | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed New York Yankees | 52c | 3,131$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.88 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 3,093$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.57 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees | 54c | 3,083$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.17 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed New York Yankees | 48c | 3,078$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.56 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Yankees | 70c | 3,076$2,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.3 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 2,658$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.04 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 2,503$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 2,412$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.64 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 2,395$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.29 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 2,394$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.67 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 2,288$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.67 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked New York Yankees | 52c | 2,202$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.96 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 2,200$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b90…5fb9backed New York Yankees | 52c | 2,056$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked New York Yankees | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…ab24backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 1,960$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.08 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a47…0c54backed New York Yankees | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed New York Yankees | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed New York Yankees | 52c | 1,887$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.76 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Yankees | 73c | 1,797$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.94 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees | 51c | 1,769$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.99 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 1,749$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.33 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 1,712$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.63 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…2de1backed New York Yankees | 52c | 1,700$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.02 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.3wins | +0.29per pick | 58cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…bdcebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,628$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed New York Yankees | 47c | 1,591$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.03 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Yankees | 49c | 1,579$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.13 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 1,574$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.75 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 1,556$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.56 | 440 | 58.9%259 W · 181 L | +29.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked New York Yankees | 46c | 1,522$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.74 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 1,500$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed New York Yankees | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 1,469$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.12 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 1,465$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.22 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 1,379$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.69 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed New York Yankees | 47c | 1,349$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.98 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 1,334$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.76 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d0…6219backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 1,300$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.96 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 1,256$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.1 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked New York Yankees | 50c | 1,208$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.03 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed New York Yankees | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed New York Yankees | 52c | 1,200$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.28 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked New York Yankees | 52c | 1,153$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.61 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 1,129$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.98 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,120$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.9 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a7…3bb2backed New York Yankees | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees | 67c | 1,096$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.64 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 1,082$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.9 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x920b…5d59backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 1,053$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7294…3b5dbacked New York Yankees | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…ac86backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
- New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue JaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.