CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Morningstar vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - Asia Championships Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a0eeb51596d949309b421f8efcc1bbfa57eebb374cdfaf1c403347d9eba83a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lynn Visionof Morningstar, Lynn Vision
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,503 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Morningstar | 19c | 3,225$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.09 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Morningstar | 21c | 1,213$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.03 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Morningstar | 22c | 1,190$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.51 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Lynn Vision | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb934…6cafbacked Morningstar | 22c | 988$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ef…3413backed Morningstar | 22c | 778$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…550cbacked Morningstar | 22c | 774$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc637…ab8fbacked Morningstar | 22c | 773$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bca…7d09backed Morningstar | 22c | 712$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…fcfebacked Lynn Vision | 79c | 711.79$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.68 | 149 | 71.8%107 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3f…e077backed Morningstar | 22c | 532$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0085…f6bfbacked Morningstar | 22c | 531$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…5171backed Morningstar | 22c | 524$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc2…e485backed Morningstar | 22c | 523$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…0753backed Lynn Vision | 78c | 523$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…7776backed Morningstar | 22c | 522$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…a524backed Lynn Vision | 78c | 516$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9589…5b36backed Lynn Vision | 77c | 480$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.62 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3f…3f83backed Lynn Vision | 78c | 478$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0087…fc86backed Lynn Vision | 78c | 465$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…0726backed Lynn Vision | 78c | 462$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf03c…3effbacked Lynn Vision | 78c | 452$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Lynn Vision | 78c | 417.62$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.88 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a4…ab0ebacked Morningstar | 4c | 386.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lynn Vision | 80c | 380$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.15 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Morningstar | 22c | 368.65$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.07 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…b33cbacked Lynn Vision | 78c | 321$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Lynn Vision | 78c | 320$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ac…f94fbacked Lynn Vision | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Morningstar | 5c | 299.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe165…4144backed Lynn Vision | 78c | 269$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…f9eabacked Lynn Vision | 78c | 266$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c8…044abacked Lynn Vision | 78c | 266$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f2…b2babacked Lynn Vision | 78c | 265$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +125.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6222…8239backed Lynn Vision | 78c | 263$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…0bb9backed Lynn Vision | 78c | 262$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2655backed Lynn Vision | 78c | 262$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a2…ad60backed Lynn Vision | 78c | 261$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5b…b252backed Lynn Vision | 78c | 260$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea3…b4a7backed Lynn Vision | 78c | 258$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d77…ff7ebacked Lynn Vision | 78c | 258$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…e103backed Lynn Vision | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Lynn Vision | 78c | 238$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae0…fcc4backed Lynn Vision | 80c | 215$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Morningstar | 22c | 206.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae05…9510backed Lynn Vision | 80c | 198$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7155…4dd0backed Lynn Vision | 80c | 198$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0f…cf1abacked Lynn Vision | 80c | 136$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671e…bcc6backed Lynn Vision | 80c | 128$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x364e…1996backed Lynn Vision | 78c | 113.54$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…228cbacked Morningstar | 20c | 112$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…6730backed Morningstar | 20c | 112$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b4…17b1backed Morningstar | 10c | 111.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23f2…ec38backed Morningstar | 20c | 109$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…f689backed Morningstar | 20c | 106$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Lynn Vision | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 317 | 31.9%101 W · 216 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Morningstar | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64da…bac1backed Morningstar | 20c | 98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0333…2b25backed Morningstar | 20c | 96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9374…a329backed Morningstar | 20c | 83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf940…ccf1backed Morningstar | 20c | 82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Morningstar | 21c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd41c…fb0bbacked Morningstar | 20c | 77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Morningstar | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…5f9ebacked Morningstar | 23c | 54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Morningstar | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Morningstar | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa47c…8e87backed Lynn Vision | 77c | 46.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Lynn Vision | 79c | 35.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed Lynn Vision | 78c | 33.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 76cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d80…4a15backed Lynn Vision | 78c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed Lynn Vision | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 557 | 49.7%277 W · 280 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd668…2235backed Lynn Vision | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…c6c7backed Lynn Vision | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…3533backed Lynn Vision | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfec…1623backed Lynn Vision | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe0…192abacked Lynn Vision | 80c | 18.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa391…dd32backed Lynn Vision | 78c | 17.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba7…013ebacked Lynn Vision | 78c | 16.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.