Fifa International · resolved market
Will Korea Republic vs. Ghana end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfe0d463593afb0feb746fd93a3b96b2f5b24fe5a3dffa564d46aa6cb2560c07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 19c | 4,007$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.26 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed Yes | 18c | 3,638$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 1,956$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.2 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 79c | 1,912$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.52 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 22c | 1,507$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.97 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 24c | 1,360$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.21 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 1,240$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.07 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 22c | 999.94$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…4662backed Yes | 25c | 973.27$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 25c | 958.85$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.71 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c72…8b8bbacked Yes | 38c | 700$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 20c | 656.4$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.28 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…6788backed Yes | 21c | 643.41$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9d…e71abacked Yes | 22c | 558.07$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 24c | 432.85$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.95 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 422.7$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.05 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c21cbacked Yes | 20c | 365.2$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Yes | 20c | 307.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.62 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 22c | 257.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 20c | 227.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Yes | 20c | 213$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Yes | 20c | 211.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…79cbbacked Yes | 24c | 211.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…4c42backed Yes | 35c | 200$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…d802backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 37c | 177.27$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d3…3d7abacked Yes | 21c | 164.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 22c | 149.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f3…bb7fbacked Yes | 22c | 128.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…c325backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…b02ebacked Yes | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Yes | 15c | 120.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a96…e12fbacked Yes | 21c | 119.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 73c | 110$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…5769backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…bfc7backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17c5…7c9fbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed No | 73c | 93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 24c | 90.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8163backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 33cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 77c | 81.72$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x364e…1996backed Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf965…9e79backed Yes | 19c | 78.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf978…cf69backed Yes | 43c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd52…bbccbacked Yes | 21c | 62.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 77c | 61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 72c | 59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Yes | 19c | 56.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab3…c6bbbacked Yes | 30c | 54.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…04cebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc319…9454backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b9…5b46backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Yes | 42c | 33.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec0…82ddbacked Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed No | 74c | 23.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 76c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 168 | 31.5%53 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 397 | 49.9%198 W · 199 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Korea Republic vs. Ghana end in a draw?this page
- Will Ghana win on 2025-11-18?No won
- Will Korea Republic win on 2025-11-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.