Will Ghana win on 2025-11-18?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x304d0f86c4a1e68bf0ce78e71b96a848fe809d5d23bd5075a5eaf655f5a06cd3

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 18, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $90,963
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $95,903

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,963 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5ad4…3c1abacked Yes	20c	47,280$9,456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,456.01	23	0%0 W · 23 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes	18c	5,099$917 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$917.26	605	11.4%69 W · 536 L	-16.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	14c	2,606$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.92	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x670f…1439backed Yes	7c	2,453$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+141.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes	18c	1,546$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.01	346	30.1%104 W · 242 L	-21.8wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes	20c	1,418$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.59	1,045	29.3%306 W · 739 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes	14c	1,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes	19c	999.98$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	224	21%47 W · 177 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes	23c	988$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.91	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3d34…05d8backed No	80c	738.28$591 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.66	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27d1…43a0backed Yes	23c	692.49$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No	80c	653$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.12	423	52%220 W · 203 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	19c	577$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.04	300	31%93 W · 207 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes	24c	422.21$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	51	27.5%14 W · 37 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x314c…67dabacked Yes	23c	384.97$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No	80c	341.4$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.68	136	54.4%74 W · 62 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes	16c	339.99$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.8	186	41.4%77 W · 109 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed No	69c	300$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.17per pick	61cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc0d…79cbbacked Yes	20c	250.65$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+3.8wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Yes	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-3.5wins	-0.14per pick	46cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb637…4c42backed Yes	9c	244.77$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.95	58	27.6%16 W · 42 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	+67.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes	31c	240$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.4	1,001	53.9%540 W · 461 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked No	80c	216.05$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.05	168	31.5%53 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No	80c	216$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.04	397	49.9%198 W · 199 L	-16.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No	80c	199.42$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.06	464	53.2%247 W · 217 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes	13c	192.3$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	25	36%9 W · 16 L	+3.6wins	+0.14per pick	22cpaid	+37.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x165d…79c6backed Yes	18c	161.11$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-5.1wins	-0.10per pick	57cpaid	-29%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No	80c	160$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.6	202	45.5%92 W · 110 L	-13.7wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Yes	21c	150$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	181	50.3%91 W · 90 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No	77c	147$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.2	104	52.9%55 W · 49 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked No	80c	144$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.8	55	45.5%25 W · 30 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f7d…5769backed No	79c	134$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.81	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No	80c	127$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.88	130	50.8%66 W · 64 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No	80c	126.99$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.88	121	47.9%58 W · 63 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes	20c	126.84$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	104	31.7%33 W · 71 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6b4…e861backed No	79c	121.56$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.17	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	72cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes	18c	116.69$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	164	42.7%70 W · 94 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc2f1…f229backed Yes	11c	116.67$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No	80c	115$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	123	50.4%62 W · 61 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc08b…e35bbacked Yes	18c	111.13$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf91e…d074backed Yes	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.12per pick	44cpaid	+49.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Yes	20c	109.79$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.96	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No	80c	105$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.4	68	50%34 W · 34 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked No	80c	105$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.4	50	48%24 W · 26 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No	80c	105$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.4	75	52%39 W · 36 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No	80c	105$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.4	70	50%35 W · 35 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No	80c	105$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.4	75	53.3%40 W · 35 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d12…1a3abacked Yes	12c	102.63$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.14per pick	31cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x593e…8cc6backed Yes	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	57cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8e6…8b72backed Yes	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No	80c	95$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19	74	50%37 W · 37 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No	80c	95$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19	68	52.9%36 W · 32 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed No	80c	95$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19	60	53.3%32 W · 28 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No	80c	95$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19	78	48.7%38 W · 40 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes	19c	89.53$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.01	90	33.3%30 W · 60 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+30%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed No	80c	88$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.6	73	49.3%36 W · 37 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x831d…e1babacked Yes	23c	86.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Yes	22c	81.05$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.93	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc22c…bfc7backed Yes	18c	80.6$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.51	20	25%5 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+71.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x093f…4ddfbacked Yes	17c	60$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcec0…82ddbacked Yes	24c	60$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.4wins	+0.18per pick	51cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes	20c	53.82$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.76	292	32.9%96 W · 196 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x040f…e98cbacked Yes	22c	53.19$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.51	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+37.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…6657backed No	79c	50$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.5	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc909…1ab1backed No	80c	50$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc319…9454backed Yes	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe363…6786backed Yes	24c	45.63$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.95	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No	77c	45$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.36	116	46.6%54 W · 62 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1707…93c4backed No	78c	43.25$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.42	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0f…18e8backed No	80c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.30per pick	70cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No	77c	18$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.14	129	45%58 W · 71 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No	77c	14$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.22	117	48.7%57 W · 60 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No	77c	14$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.22	459	49.5%227 W · 232 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No	77c	14$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.22	358	48.3%173 W · 185 L	-9.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Ghana win on 2025-11-18?this page
Will Korea Republic vs. Ghana end in a draw?No won
Will Korea Republic win on 2025-11-18?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Ghana win on 2025-11-18?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event