CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71d956f4ff41541cc5a5a1b2f2a56484eefead2ce062014344b55f37b62a0bd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Under | 66c | 2,500$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 38c | 2,274$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.06 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 38c | 2,259$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.23 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Under | 64c | 967.2$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.01 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 36c | 835.07$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.45 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Under | 68c | 670$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.59 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Over | 39c | 461.54$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.54 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 6c | 431.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed Over | 36c | 368.75$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Over | 48c | 329.79$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.21 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Under | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Over | 38c | 299.95$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.41 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Over | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 62c | 199.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Over | 48c | 162.59$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.08 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…16e3backed Under | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Under | 64c | 154.34$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 63c | 151.28$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.28 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 36c | 129.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.69 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde01…b276backed Under | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea7a…446bbacked Over | 34c | 106.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.15 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…a8f4backed Under | 73c | 95.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Under | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 186 | 57%106 W · 80 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe7…90dcbacked Over | 38c | 92.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Under | 64c | 56.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…14e9backed Over | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd6…8eedbacked Under | 64c | 36.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…2ab9backed Over | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422b…093dbacked Over | 39c | 33.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Under | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…d786backed Under | 64c | 21.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 51c | 20.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs FaZe (BO3)FaZe won
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs FaZe - Map 1 WinnerFaZe won
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs FaZe - Map 2 WinnerFluxo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.