Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs MIBR Female (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69851435cdc5661570f1ed831cd0b59ba43ca7ffba92a5290a2093edaeadf5f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shopify Rebellion Goldof Shopify Rebellion Gold, MIBR Female
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb83…eb08backed MIBR Female | 42c | 2,400$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…c11cbacked MIBR Female | 42c | 1,150$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ae…0ca3backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 58c | 1,150$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3136…4c7dbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 58c | 1,100$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f1…9856backed MIBR Female | 42c | 1,100$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683f…6b89backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 58c | 800$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e76…1f70backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 58c | 800$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…3adcbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 58c | 800$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MIBR Female | 40c | 551.92$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.77 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 60c | 520$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b51…edf0backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 60c | 489.31$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked MIBR Female | 45c | 399.55$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9d…15c0backed MIBR Female | 43c | 357.01$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8157…f6ebbacked MIBR Female | 43c | 334.84$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.98 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed MIBR Female | 46c | 326.58$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 55c | 232.73$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.73 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 55c | 165$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…33debacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 68c | 138.21$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.77 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…a8f4backed MIBR Female | 43c | 84.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ed…3ae6backed MIBR Female | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 70c | 66.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb28…02bbbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 55c | 44.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed MIBR Female | 45c | 32.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfca3…9daabacked MIBR Female | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe604…0bd6backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedea…22c9backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 60c | 28.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 58c | 20.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs MIBR Female (BO3)this page
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs MIBR Female - Map 1 WinnerShopify Rebellion Gold won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.