TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs fnatic (BO1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
fnaticof 3DMAX, fnatic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$354,359
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$365,533

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $354,359 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37e4…c991backed fnatic44c77,221$33,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,243.77363%46 W · 27 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed fnatic44c76,675$33,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,937.899942.4%42 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed 3DMAX56c30,099$16,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,705.3233043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed 3DMAX56c18,720$10,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,483.225842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed fnatic48c16,383$7,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,548.694,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked fnatic70c10,420$7,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,164.7922468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed 3DMAX56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,60030340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed fnatic43c10,000$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,699.9860853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd041…7b26backed 3DMAX56c7,429$4,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1603633.3%12 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked 3DMAX58c6,953$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00081751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked fnatic42c6,305$2,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,656.8683652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked fnatic54c5,686$3,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,637.563,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed fnatic44c5,519$2,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,100.9967041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked 3DMAX56c5,375$3,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,01035940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed 3DMAX26c5,272$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36072453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25ed…6ac6backed 3DMAX56c5,103$2,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,857.479050%45 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b48…4705backed 3DMAX56c5,022$2,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,812.3210252%53 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed fnatic43c5,000$2,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,857.1445848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed fnatic56c4,951$2,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,183.883237.5%12 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-35.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked 3DMAX64c4,641$2,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,991.873,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa61b…3984backed 3DMAX34c4,590$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.818657%49 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed 3DMAX56c4,297$2,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,406.3746243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed 3DMAX56c3,482$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9504362.8%27 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked 3DMAX30c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed fnatic44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6808042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked 3DMAX56c2,861$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,602.1160953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed fnatic39c2,730$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,664.11,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81d…b365backed 3DMAX42c2,644$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.881747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+31.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked fnatic43c2,621$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.89861.2%60 W · 38 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked 3DMAX45c2,429$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.3332930.4%100 W · 229 L-21.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x28ba…4e57backed 3DMAX56c2,232$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2507349.3%36 W · 37 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed 3DMAX57c2,190$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.353746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked fnatic45c2,139$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.6127452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed 3DMAX16c1,908$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-81.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked fnatic46c1,883$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.871,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b3f…4b41backed 3DMAX56c1,786$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.152748.1%13 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf58d…914abacked 3DMAX57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009252.2%48 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e4e…e29dbacked 3DMAX57c1,744$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7fa…44e5backed 3DMAX55c1,611$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8806546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked fnatic45c1,533$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.3361228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked fnatic44c1,400$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.9822056.4%124 W · 96 L+19.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9b25…b5ccbacked 3DMAX56c1,398$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7831376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+29.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed 3DMAX57c1,350$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.521846.8%102 W · 116 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed 3DMAX57c1,336$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.5113954.7%76 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6113…2443backed 3DMAX9c1,155$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005738.6%22 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa05b…a94fbacked fnatic44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.362937.9%11 W · 18 L-6.4wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-37.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked 3DMAX56c1,060$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.7910442.3%44 W · 60 L-7.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked 3DMAX46c1,047$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.572,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed fnatic41c1,009$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.511758.1%68 W · 49 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked 3DMAX41c1,005$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.461,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed 3DMAX58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.0257647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed fnatic43c999.98$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.9924139%94 W · 147 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed 3DMAX37c927.1$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.229337.6%35 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f7d…5769backed 3DMAX56c923$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.285747.4%27 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed 3DMAX56c910.32$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.415442.2%65 W · 89 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed fnatic55c902.57$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.5721251.4%109 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2984…0fc6backed 3DMAX57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005756.1%32 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked fnatic45c849$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.931,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed 3DMAX58c800$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46415251.3%78 W · 74 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed 3DMAX54c793$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.5710549.5%52 W · 53 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x644b…2145backed fnatic42c754.99$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.8915749%77 W · 80 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed 3DMAX57c748$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.8278639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked fnatic44c736.02$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.5429855%164 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed 3DMAX57c719.99$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.1942142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed 3DMAX59c708.47$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41815249.3%75 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked 3DMAX18c688.93$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12118443.5%80 W · 104 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8e…8e0dbacked 3DMAX24c681.9$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16650358.6%295 W · 208 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc651…15d3backed 3DMAX45c661.84$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010635.8%38 W · 68 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1bfe…ab8dbacked fnatic45c650$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.51770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+40.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked 3DMAX55c646.87$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.731,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b87…6a47backed 3DMAX57c617.54$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35213059.2%77 W · 53 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed 3DMAX57c614.75$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.051,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed fnatic45c612.67$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.9717247.7%82 W · 90 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 3DMAX54c597.65$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.171,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91d5…fa14backed 3DMAX67c569.1$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.31936.8%7 W · 12 L-5.3wins-0.28per pick65cpaid-40%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed 3DMAX62c562.04$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.3458961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66ba…621fbacked fnatic45c550$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.519043.7%83 W · 107 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdab0…2fe9backed 3DMAX56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003865.8%25 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7777…49aabacked 3DMAX57c530$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.12737%10 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed 3DMAX58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30096545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed fnatic44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28028351.9%147 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1a8…bcf1backed 3DMAX4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick20cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed fnatic45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27534235.4%121 W · 221 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed 3DMAX66c460.11$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.35324.5%13 W · 40 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-50.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked fnatic44c457.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.5152636.5%192 W · 334 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72c4…cfedbacked 3DMAX33c448.3$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.937042.9%30 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed 3DMAX56c447$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.3211654.3%63 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed 3DMAX46c444.02$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20510951.4%56 W · 53 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed fnatic43c440$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.6421639.8%86 W · 130 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed fnatic44c425$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2381643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ef8…8712backed fnatic46c411.44$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.645347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ce…1817backed fnatic44c401.49$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.832955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b10…5548backed 3DMAX24c360.6$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853920.5%8 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbff4…eaf3backed 3DMAX56c360$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.611428.1%32 W · 82 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed 3DMAX23c356.08$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5732425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked 3DMAX57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016649.4%82 W · 84 L-15.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed 3DMAX7c349.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.471,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked fnatic45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3313460.4%81 W · 53 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked 3DMAX56c329.7$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.571,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed 3DMAX56c327.04$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.1426344.5%117 W · 146 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.