CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs Ground Zero (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x975c05719b271a8399bdb3aaf260fa5712aa6f6ea55dc6f5dbab6136aa157ae0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SemperFi Esportsof SemperFi Esports, Ground Zero
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,724 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e0e…ad94backed SemperFi Esports | 80c | 3,750$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Ground Zero | 20c | 3,750$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ground Zero | 14c | 3,007$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.4 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Ground Zero | 8c | 2,280$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.47 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Ground Zero | 20c | 1,041$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.24 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ground Zero | 18c | 1,006$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.59 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…fcfebacked SemperFi Esports | 80c | 990.51$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.1 | 149 | 71.8%107 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Ground Zero | 22c | 801.87$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed SemperFi Esports | 80c | 698.55$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.08 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Ground Zero | 18c | 681.45$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.47 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Ground Zero | 21c | 570$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.45 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Ground Zero | 9c | 522$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2b…a454backed Ground Zero | 7c | 411$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x907f…cee9backed Ground Zero | 7c | 401$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1145…e384backed Ground Zero | 7c | 373$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe63d…0545backed Ground Zero | 8c | 359.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e7…a447backed Ground Zero | 8c | 237.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Ground Zero | 21c | 228.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Ground Zero | 18c | 214.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…c865backed SemperFi Esports | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5229…2befbacked Ground Zero | 16c | 193.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c55…14bbbacked Ground Zero | 7c | 168$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Ground Zero | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Ground Zero | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Ground Zero | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…d209backed SemperFi Esports | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03bd…9762backed Ground Zero | 21c | 101$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Ground Zero | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Ground Zero | 14c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Ground Zero | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Ground Zero | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Ground Zero | 13c | 92.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…0d42backed Ground Zero | 17c | 87.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…a7b8backed SemperFi Esports | 74c | 87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.7wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x40ad…2e4ebacked Ground Zero | 16c | 87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…0f05backed Ground Zero | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed SemperFi Esports | 78c | 84.41$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe79c…bdcebacked Ground Zero | 13c | 84.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Ground Zero | 18c | 80.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Ground Zero | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…5a52backed SemperFi Esports | 80c | 72.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b0…2c50backed Ground Zero | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked SemperFi Esports | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd600…b431backed Ground Zero | 21c | 57.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe109…d36ebacked Ground Zero | 21c | 52.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418e…3be4backed SemperFi Esports | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cd…1685backed SemperFi Esports | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ac…79cabacked Ground Zero | 33c | 36.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf535…e984backed SemperFi Esports | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…c59fbacked SemperFi Esports | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed SemperFi Esports | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b3…3f82backed SemperFi Esports | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +141.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fb…3e92backed SemperFi Esports | 80c | 15.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed SemperFi Esports | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 159 | 65.4%104 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…648ebacked SemperFi Esports | 80c | 14.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb902…10c0backed SemperFi Esports | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…9436backed SemperFi Esports | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs Ground Zero (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs Ground Zero - Map 1 WinnerSemperFi Esports won
- Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs Ground Zero - Map 2 WinnerSemperFi Esports won
- Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
- Map Handicap: SFE (-1.5) vs Ground Zero (+1.5)SemperFi Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.