CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x814a9c2118f1d26a13ab3e846fd52978242db46a281c692f0296f007069affd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- K27of K27, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Bushido Wildcats | 22c | 2,543$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.98 | 1,432 | 33.6%481 W · 951 L | +41.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked K27 | 74c | 2,118$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.57 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked K27 | 75c | 1,510$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.54 | 8,058 | 50.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L | +171.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked K27 | 79c | 1,189$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.41 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Bushido Wildcats | 11c | 1,004$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.32 | 5,400 | 31.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L | -393.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Bushido Wildcats | 18c | 999.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5,911 | 37.7%2,228 W · 3,683 L | +74.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked K27 | 49c | 672.82$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.95 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed K27 | 67c | 540.2$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.81 | 6,522 | 42.9%2,798 W · 3,724 L | -80.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 52c | 455.67$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.58 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Bushido Wildcats | 24c | 452$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.67 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Bushido Wildcats | 25c | 419$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.59 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…50b0backed Bushido Wildcats | 48c | 417.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Bushido Wildcats | 27c | 408$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.39 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbd…1ec9backed Bushido Wildcats | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1f…a252backed Bushido Wildcats | 54c | 372.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Bushido Wildcats | 25c | 337$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.14 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Bushido Wildcats | 23c | 316.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.21 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Bushido Wildcats | 33c | 233$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.12 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Bushido Wildcats | 17c | 200.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed K27 | 54c | 200.23$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.23 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…23a0backed Bushido Wildcats | 28c | 198.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -7.0wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bushido Wildcats | 9c | 169.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…f616backed K27 | 49c | 160.81$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.43 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Bushido Wildcats | 13c | 131$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Bushido Wildcats | 22c | 119.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed K27 | 72c | 115.22$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Bushido Wildcats | 15c | 114$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Bushido Wildcats | 27c | 105$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa743…7300backed Bushido Wildcats | 29c | 104.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed K27 | 71c | 104.06$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba27…3f88backed Bushido Wildcats | 10c | 104$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -5.6wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…bf70backed K27 | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed K27 | 78c | 99.08$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Bushido Wildcats | 26c | 99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Bushido Wildcats | 48c | 94.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 971 | 43.7%424 W · 547 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked K27 | 72c | 89.82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 19c | 87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked K27 | 70c | 84.95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed K27 | 79c | 71.16$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e7…a447backed K27 | 78c | 51.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb1…79d9backed Bushido Wildcats | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked K27 | 74c | 35.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 1,450 | 52.9%767 W · 683 L | +34.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed K27 | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked K27 | 76c | 25.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 275 | 56.7%156 W · 119 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed K27 | 66c | 20.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5052backed K27 | 48c | 20.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed K27 | 67c | 18.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed K27 | 77c | 17.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…2b32backed K27 | 67c | 17.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40ca…36d3backed K27 | 62c | 16.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed K27 | 75c | 16.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 963 | 49.6%478 W · 485 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 WinnerK27 won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.