CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs KOLESIE (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8d9bc9229a4ee02033588863a7e8d1dab8cddd3f6f1e5b06568dd7a68909ce4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOKUSof FOKUS, KOLESIE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,835 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x861f…a189backed FOKUS | 59c | 678.98$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked KOLESIE | 46c | 528.39$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.99 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed KOLESIE | 42c | 366.1$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.06 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked FOKUS | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed FOKUS | 58c | 171$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.33 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed KOLESIE | 38c | 170$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked FOKUS | 68c | 147.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e7…174fbacked KOLESIE | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed KOLESIE | 38c | 114$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked KOLESIE | 32c | 99.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e7…a447backed FOKUS | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked KOLESIE | 32c | 70.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed KOLESIE | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked FOKUS | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked KOLESIE | 42c | 35.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked FOKUS | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed KOLESIE | 38c | 29.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f50…e59ebacked FOKUS | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed FOKUS | 56c | 17.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.