CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs AaB esport (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x516ed4819601abd679eb0111d80fbc944e06f24b8df1e4bd0a64c269afb32923
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, AaB esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,840 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked AaB esport | 15c | 3,901$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.6 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed AaB esport | 12c | 449.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.92 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed AaB esport | 9c | 246.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked AaB esport | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed 100 Thieves | 76c | 199.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…850abacked 100 Thieves | 78c | 153.3$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked AaB esport | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 100 Thieves | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed AaB esport | 20c | 72.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f50…e59ebacked 100 Thieves | 79c | 43.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e7…a447backed 100 Thieves | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked 100 Thieves | 74c | 17.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…c91dbacked 100 Thieves | 76c | 17.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.