TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Favbet (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Favbetof Alliance, Favbet
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,463

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,463 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf8ab…13a1backed Favbet50c6,720$3,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,366.766747.8%32 W · 35 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Alliance56c4,936$2,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,761.793,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa839…2718backed Favbet61c4,249$2,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655.94728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-53.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed Alliance56c2,903$1,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,614.9636742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Favbet37c1,879$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.0246243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Alliance43c1,856$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.243,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Favbet37c1,552$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.7419643.4%85 W · 111 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Alliance35c1,546$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.5380744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Favbet72c1,292$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.6935850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Favbet45c1,062$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.671,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Alliance46c990.01$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.416,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Alliance53c976.18$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.7723245.3%105 W · 127 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Alliance63c900$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56746749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Favbet37c826.78$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.221,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Alliance33c817.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.515,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Favbet57c708.18$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.687,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Alliance60c643.48$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.54933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b9b…c323backed Favbet59c640.13$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.575070%35 W · 15 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd7ce…f709backed Favbet30c628$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.61154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Favbet42c610.58$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.165,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5a3…1d0abacked Favbet32c605$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.41258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+42.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc2f…a15fbacked Favbet51c499.98$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.9919055.8%106 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Alliance40c490.35$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.392,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Alliance62c459.71$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.194,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Favbet51c450$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.2423858%138 W · 100 L+13.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16e3…5476backed Alliance70c428$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.61258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+31.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaee7…97d6backed Favbet53c419$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.93944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Alliance63c401.01$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.971,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99cd…bafbbacked Alliance11c382.14$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.38425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-66%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Alliance21c372$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5932930.4%100 W · 229 L-21.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Alliance35c367$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.1929647.6%141 W · 155 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1986…a434backed Favbet74c364.82$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.741154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Favbet41c362.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.0212038.3%46 W · 74 L-12.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-25.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Alliance62c338.96$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.791,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked Favbet73c332$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2929154%157 W · 134 L+17.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xabab…8b3ebacked Alliance68c327$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.36850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Alliance28c320.99$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3857322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Alliance24c307.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.31,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Alliance60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18049849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Alliance62c300$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1866243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8945…640bbacked Favbet49c299.99$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.6526257.6%151 W · 111 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb69f…d51cbacked Alliance63c283.87$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.15641.1%23 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x190a…03a0backed Alliance68c278$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.04425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8374…4015backed Favbet73c275.12$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.96850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9072…efb8backed Alliance47c268$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.961040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0d4…0289backed Favbet55c264$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.517546.3%81 W · 94 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Alliance41c259.97$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4646843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Favbet37c257.2$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.082,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Favbet37c240.54$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.549753.6%52 W · 45 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9412…ecdbbacked Alliance36c236.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+118%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Favbet38c215.99$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.245625%14 W · 42 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2fd…8664backed Favbet51c214$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.861040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Favbet38c213$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.0615141.7%63 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc051…a277backed Favbet39c211$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e22…404dbacked Alliance70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8359…5944backed Alliance18c199.98$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3569732%223 W · 474 L-46.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e9c…ca4fbacked Favbet33c198$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.661457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+51.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfdcc…e679backed Favbet49c195$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.65955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7c…db55backed Alliance65c194$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.7530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc758…f2f9backed Favbet39c194$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.34825%2 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-47.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x886e…98e0backed Favbet51c176$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.241346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Favbet37c174$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.178733.3%29 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc4c…e05fbacked Favbet51c169$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.81560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Alliance62c168$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.839239.8%156 W · 236 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…a528backed Favbet51c161$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.89862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+67.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1403…6c62backed Alliance49c159$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.91825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-60.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e16…900dbacked Alliance49c158$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.421050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Alliance71c156.5$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.123847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd892…515cbacked Alliance61c156$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.161838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0d3…72afbacked Alliance61c155$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5560%0 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1d6a…cbe2backed Alliance51c155$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.05955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07ac…e813backed Alliance67c153$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.511030%3 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick58cpaid-37.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Alliance41c152.11$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.442,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x466e…5482backed Alliance47c151$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.971060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff0b…d06bbacked Favbet44c151$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.561338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f8c…1e4dbacked Favbet51c147$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.82540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+224.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Alliance26c142.6$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0733237%123 W · 209 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x907f…cee9backed Favbet64c141$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.76633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb997…faacbacked Alliance39c138.79$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8120553.2%109 W · 96 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Alliance47c138$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1746344.5%206 W · 257 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cee…dfadbacked Favbet73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.998844.3%39 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd208…0e63backed Favbet77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc81c…e862backed Favbet48c129$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.08560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+93.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ee5…8306backed Alliance49c117$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.33757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3705…6123backed Favbet44c114.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.24966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+43.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc78…ce73backed Favbet49c111$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.61850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+274.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Favbet71c107.97$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.972,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Alliance63c106.81$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0245639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e7…a447backed Alliance24c104.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Favbet70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.956732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Alliance63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6340247.8%192 W · 210 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Favbet44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5617246.5%80 W · 92 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Favbet51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1283543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x919d…62d6backed Favbet43c98.12$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.031233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x302f…627cbacked Favbet64c94.99$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a9…f5dfbacked Alliance49c94$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.061833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+86.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Favbet49c93.87$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6269863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd47c…a36abacked Alliance56c89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.841020%2 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-61.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x70e7…c04dbacked Favbet39c86$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.46742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Alliance59c85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.218454.3%100 W · 84 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.