CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Favbet - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34b027aea64ed0297eb5d6e4fb4da2c3323680a978f74e672579981e69b10763
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Favbetof Alliance, Favbet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,681 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed Alliance | 42c | 709.4$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.95 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Favbet | 58c | 671.69$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.91 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1f…d634backed Favbet | 57c | 514.42$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.12 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f0…67c9backed Favbet | 38c | 510$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.2 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1854…be98backed Alliance | 61c | 510$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.1 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x950c…e503backed Favbet | 38c | 480$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x676f…43c1backed Alliance | 61c | 480$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.8 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -5.1wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf918…39e3backed Favbet | 40c | 470$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Favbet | 57c | 462.76$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.08 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Alliance | 31c | 428$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.8 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Alliance | 31c | 402.81$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Favbet | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.4 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alliance | 34c | 390.65$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.93 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Alliance | 56c | 375.06$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.03 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Favbet | 37c | 353.07$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.08 | 574 | 22.5%129 W · 445 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bd…f29dbacked Favbet | 40c | 345$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…bbcbbacked Favbet | 40c | 325$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…44a3backed Alliance | 60c | 318.42$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.86 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd1…729bbacked Favbet | 40c | 292$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Favbet | 67c | 280.91$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…08c2backed Favbet | 40c | 280$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Favbet | 62c | 228.55$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.55 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Favbet | 68c | 218.75$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…7a8ebacked Alliance | 60c | 205$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5850…dc65backed Alliance | 60c | 203$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafb7…fa47backed Alliance | 60c | 199$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…6e8cbacked Alliance | 60c | 180$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Alliance | 56c | 167.86$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alliance | 40c | 150.2$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581e…37a4backed Alliance | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9f…134fbacked Alliance | 60c | 141$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x321d…b806backed Alliance | 60c | 138$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…9161backed Alliance | 60c | 134$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…e1fcbacked Alliance | 60c | 132$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Alliance | 43c | 125.51$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e8…50aebacked Alliance | 60c | 123$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Alliance | 49c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1986…a434backed Favbet | 70c | 118.12$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Alliance | 43c | 112.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Favbet | 61c | 107.01$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3eb…37f1backed Alliance | 60c | 107$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60e…953abacked Favbet | 70c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Favbet | 27c | 83.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Favbet | 58c | 80.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Alliance | 33c | 77.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Alliance | 31c | 76.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Alliance | 37c | 74.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Favbet | 79c | 63.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…63c1backed Alliance | 34c | 60.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Alliance | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Alliance | 47c | 55.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Alliance | 30c | 54.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Favbet | 34c | 40.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Alliance | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb98…a1d1backed Alliance | 40c | 33.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Favbet | 60c | 32.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Alliance | 33c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Alliance | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xef5a…a040backed Alliance | 37c | 26.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Favbet | 68c | 22.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Favbet | 67c | 20.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…285dbacked Favbet | 59c | 17.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Favbet - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Favbet (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 PlayoffsFavbet won
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Favbet - Map 2 WinnerFavbet won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.