CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BIG vs illwill (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce1b5b8757b0742484a6c2174a350361d0b8cfb0bfef17e28134100ff5138a1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIGof BIG, illwill
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed illwill | 37c | 3,200$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.57 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked BIG | 58c | 2,642$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.75 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe9…c6dcbacked BIG | 69c | 1,453$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.58 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed illwill | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.99 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed BIG | 64c | 1,168$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.12 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed illwill | 34c | 1,013$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.13 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…cb1bbacked BIG | 66c | 999.98$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.99 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed BIG | 62c | 685.49$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.7 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed illwill | 36c | 502.12$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.51 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked BIG | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked BIG | 64c | 488.89$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked illwill | 19c | 424.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed0…a9c5backed illwill | 36c | 390.56$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.5 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed illwill | 42c | 380$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed BIG | 75c | 379.16$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.13 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed illwill | 35c | 375.93$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.49 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed illwill | 33c | 363$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.79 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed illwill | 25c | 360$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked BIG | 66c | 296$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.87 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed illwill | 34c | 279.41$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x92ec…c883backed illwill | 21c | 258.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked illwill | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed BIG | 67c | 240.35$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.32 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +38%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked BIG | 64c | 236.87$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe81e…3640backed illwill | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed illwill | 39c | 213.7$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.44 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed illwill | 40c | 213.51$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.51 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked BIG | 79c | 205$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.15 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked illwill | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked illwill | 34c | 200$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed illwill | 12c | 197.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked BIG | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed BIG | 67c | 179.1$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed BIG | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…0470backed BIG | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f71…65a3backed illwill | 33c | 146$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f8…390ebacked illwill | 33c | 144$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf63…f3a0backed illwill | 34c | 132.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed illwill | 32c | 121.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked illwill | 34c | 112$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked illwill | 36c | 108.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed BIG | 56c | 106$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed illwill | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked illwill | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked illwill | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5206…0f4cbacked illwill | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked illwill | 34c | 92.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab8…6bc1backed illwill | 11c | 90.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d15…e663backed illwill | 35c | 83.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked BIG | 56c | 80.39$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked BIG | 57c | 78.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked illwill | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked illwill | 35c | 71.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed illwill | 22c | 67.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed illwill | 34c | 60.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…2e67backed BIG | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed illwill | 36c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa7…2bb4backed illwill | 43c | 58.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x186e…d4e7backed BIG | 67c | 58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…7185backed BIG | 68c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed illwill | 35c | 48.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed illwill | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6443…f329backed BIG | 67c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked BIG | 64c | 41.16$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed BIG | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0630…c0a6backed BIG | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed BIG | 66c | 39.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed BIG | 79c | 38.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked BIG | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8e…2ae5backed BIG | 68c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked illwill | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked illwill | 36c | 29.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9875…4b40backed BIG | 67c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a78…e93fbacked BIG | 67c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked BIG | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed BIG | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 77 | 64.9%50 W · 27 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed BIG | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked BIG | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e7…a447backed BIG | 76c | 18.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503e…adb4backed BIG | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…e727backed BIG | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5a…4fdabacked BIG | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs illwill (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs illwill - Map 1 WinnerBIG won
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs illwill - Map 2 WinnerBIG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs illwill (+1.5)BIG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.