NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ec9d021426561a6b7edf0cec002bf3542d7bced89495c121baf3fbd0ce0c85f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Rockets, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $656,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $676,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $656,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 906 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Rockets | 38c | 45,260$17,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,112.29 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers | 63c | 34,611$21,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,650.6 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75e…96ebbacked Lakers | 69c | 34,177$23,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,677.02 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…c201backed Rockets | 37c | 25,657$9,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,591.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Rockets | 41c | 17,259$7,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,018.27 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Lakers | 63c | 15,826$10,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,781.62 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Lakers | 61c | 15,222$9,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,936.58 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Rockets | 25c | 14,490$3,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,644.54 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Lakers | 68c | 13,785$9,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,386.97 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Lakers | 76c | 11,816$8,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,838.61 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Lakers | 61c | 11,575$7,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,515.75 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Lakers | 62c | 11,256$7,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,233.09 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…a098backed Rockets | 15c | 10,788$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.18 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Rockets | 2c | 10,660$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.2 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Lakers | 67c | 10,597$7,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,456.89 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Rockets | 36c | 10,136$3,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,662.43 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Rockets | 49c | 9,617$4,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,745.52 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Rockets | 32c | 9,069$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.78 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Rockets | 40c | 8,804$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Lakers | 60c | 8,310$4,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,324.04 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lakers | 62c | 8,291$5,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,133.37 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…5ce5backed Lakers | 55c | 8,000$4,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Rockets | 34c | 7,692$2,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.63 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Rockets | 42c | 7,330$3,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,081.48 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Rockets | 16c | 7,217$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.61 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Rockets | 39c | 7,000$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…410ebacked Rockets | 38c | 6,531$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,510.7 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Rockets | 36c | 6,047$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Lakers | 71c | 5,292$3,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.94 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Rockets | 41c | 5,285$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.26 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Rockets | 41c | 5,119$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.35 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Lakers | 62c | 5,036$3,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.79 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Rockets | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Rockets | 36c | 4,986$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.53 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Lakers | 63c | 4,773$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.62 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Lakers | 74c | 4,772$3,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.5 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d9…2d2ebacked Rockets | 24c | 4,656$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.44 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…e68cbacked Rockets | 45c | 4,398$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.33 | 350 | 50.6%177 W · 173 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lakers | 68c | 3,678$2,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.74 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Lakers | 62c | 3,386$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.8 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…6c24backed Lakers | 53c | 3,210$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.3 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Lakers | 61c | 3,131$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.8 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0dacbacked Lakers | 67c | 2,984$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.35 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockets | 39c | 2,971$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.61 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Rockets | 38c | 2,550$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.19 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Rockets | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Rockets | 26c | 2,298$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.39 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Lakers | 55c | 2,013$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.75 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Rockets | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lakers | 63c | 1,964$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.94 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Rockets | 38c | 1,844$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Rockets | 32c | 1,818$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.95 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rockets | 37c | 1,751$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.59 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lakers | 63c | 1,681$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.96 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Rockets | 38c | 1,643$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.4 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…0bd2backed Lakers | 64c | 1,618$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7f…105bbacked Rockets | 36c | 1,616$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.76 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Lakers | 64c | 1,559$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.84 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…17b3backed Lakers | 63c | 1,505$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.83 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Rockets | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Rockets | 43c | 1,414$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.55 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Rockets | 36c | 1,388$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.68 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Lakers | 61c | 1,300$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.2 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lakers | 62c | 1,290$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.2 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Rockets | 31c | 1,226$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Rockets | 41c | 1,219$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Rockets | 8c | 1,211$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Rockets | 37c | 1,207$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.6 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Rockets | 38c | 1,200$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.01 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Rockets | 39c | 1,135$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.7 | 173 | 35.8%62 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Rockets | 45c | 1,113$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.77 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4503…7aaabacked Rockets | 37c | 1,069$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…9e23backed Rockets | 31c | 1,061$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.73 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Rockets | 31c | 1,040$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.62 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Rockets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Rockets | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rockets | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Rockets | 40c | 959.99$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.4 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Rockets | 16c | 937.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Lakers | 62c | 929$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.48 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Lakers | 65c | 915.69$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.31 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Lakers | 55c | 911.82$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.82 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Lakers | 62c | 904.5$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.71 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Lakers | 71c | 897.88$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.29 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3caa…4a0bbacked Lakers | 62c | 857.32$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.91 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lakers | 70c | 850$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.5 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Lakers | 59c | 847.8$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.8 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Rockets | 28c | 830.18$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.11 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Lakers | 60c | 793.65$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.46 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…4881backed Lakers | 64c | 776.92$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rockets | 36c | 753.84$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.38 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Lakers | 57c | 753.32$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.93 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…e60abacked Rockets | 4c | 747.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 153 | 16.3%25 W · 128 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…725abacked Rockets | 3c | 716.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Rockets | 31c | 700$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Lakers | 64c | 699.07$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.99 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Rockets | 40c | 687.5$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Rockets | 40c | 687.5$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lakers | 60c | 682$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.8 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Lakers | 64c | 673.83$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.58 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.