NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77d46a699774171c3e88104518397517da4e2b40997c787a416f8b73ed3aa069
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Cavaliers, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $811,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $881,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $811,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 771 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Cavaliers | 1c | 150,000$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Cavaliers | 47c | 149,117$70,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,085.22 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Thunder | 54c | 90,474$48,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,997.41 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d15…a4a4backed Cavaliers | 14c | 35,100$4,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,830.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Cavaliers | 0c | 25,100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Cavaliers | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,199.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Thunder | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,999.91 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Cavaliers | 2c | 19,999$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.99 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Thunder | 55c | 19,306$10,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,627.94 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Thunder | 53c | 12,000$6,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,640 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Thunder | 70c | 12,000$8,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,540.99 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…7c4bbacked Thunder | 55c | 11,250$6,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,062.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Cavaliers | 43c | 10,334$4,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,493.82 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Cavaliers | 1c | 10,000$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Cavaliers | 46c | 9,523$4,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,380.63 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…113dbacked Cavaliers | 29c | 9,043$2,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,602.26 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Thunder | 56c | 9,020$5,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,971.83 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…1601backed Cavaliers | 1c | 6,789$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a30…1067backed Cavaliers | 45c | 5,644$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Cavaliers | 30c | 5,000$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.66 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7d…55f3backed Cavaliers | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Cavaliers | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…15e2backed Cavaliers | 1c | 5,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Cavaliers | 10c | 4,899$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.28 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed Cavaliers | 0c | 4,660$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcde3…bdaebacked Cavaliers | 45c | 4,300$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Thunder | 54c | 4,046$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,861.3 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Cavaliers | 28c | 3,653$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.15 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde78…7a53backed Cavaliers | 47c | 3,600$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Thunder | 55c | 3,297$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.77 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Thunder | 53c | 3,130$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.29 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Cavaliers | 44c | 3,065$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.39 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Cavaliers | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cavaliers | 44c | 3,000$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.93 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee1…3694backed Thunder | 54c | 2,900$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe740…1ae1backed Thunder | 53c | 2,862$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b8b4backed Cavaliers | 33c | 2,516$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7596…b3cebacked Cavaliers | 26c | 2,500$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Cavaliers | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Thunder | 54c | 2,493$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.09 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Cavaliers | 4c | 2,344$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.77 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Thunder | 55c | 2,228$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.46 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Cavaliers | 42c | 2,200$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.2 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Cavaliers | 7c | 2,162$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.15 | 157 | 24.2%38 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 2,037$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.39 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…c9c9backed Thunder | 56c | 2,016$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49cc…9385backed Cavaliers | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb586…7f97backed Cavaliers | 47c | 1,995$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.28 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Thunder | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Thunder | 56c | 1,838$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.21 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Thunder | 69c | 1,832$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.6 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Thunder | 54c | 1,700$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.93 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Cavaliers | 3c | 1,600$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cavaliers | 46c | 1,550$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Cavaliers | 2c | 1,515$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cavaliers | 27c | 1,489$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.39 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Thunder | 54c | 1,487$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.54 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Cavaliers | 45c | 1,400$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a8…adcebacked Cavaliers | 38c | 1,400$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.97 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6a…fa55backed Cavaliers | 10c | 1,397$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Thunder | 58c | 1,311$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.03 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef12…bb32backed Cavaliers | 45c | 1,253$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Cavaliers | 20c | 1,200$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.32 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,144$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.21 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Thunder | 54c | 1,113$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.38 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbc…a70dbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 1,030$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…9f1dbacked Thunder | 53c | 1,028$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…03c5backed Thunder | 54c | 1,022$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc54…aad2backed Cavaliers | 46c | 1,022$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Thunder | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Cavaliers | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…ed0ebacked Cavaliers | 2c | 1,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…67c6backed Cavaliers | 5c | 1,000$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x724f…79ddbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 999.97$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…9575backed Thunder | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6274…f988backed Thunder | 62c | 844$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.58 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Thunder | 55c | 821.05$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.47 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Cavaliers | 31c | 816.16$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Thunder | 54c | 815$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.9 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Cavaliers | 9c | 813$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.17 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Thunder | 56c | 801.55$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.68 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Cavaliers | 27c | 791.88$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.98 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Thunder | 64c | 775.36$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.13 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b4…5aabbacked Cavaliers | 4c | 774.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 173 | 63.6%110 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Cavaliers | 27c | 740$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.72 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x592d…532ebacked Cavaliers | 12c | 738.73$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.06 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Cavaliers | 8c | 688.4$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ea…4684backed Thunder | 53c | 631.96$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +116.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed Thunder | 56c | 618.21$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.01 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Cavaliers | 16c | 599.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Thunder | 54c | 599.9$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.95 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…3027backed Thunder | 63c | 555.56$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.56 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…1846backed Cavaliers | 47c | 553.19$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc573…e1d4backed Thunder | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Thunder | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23b1…8e10backed Cavaliers | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Thunder | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfab7…953abacked Cavaliers | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.