TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Pelicans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Wizards, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$213,995
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$224,212

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,995 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 314 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5d5e…5d34backed Wizards30c24,260$7,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,213.234949%24 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1f0…81e1backed Wizards0c14,750$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Pelicans70c14,699$10,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,362.765642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2a3…1698backed Pelicans72c8,885$6,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,487.89250%46 W · 46 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Wizards32c7,094$2,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,255.5261532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Wizards29c7,005$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,996.3714039.3%55 W · 85 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Wizards29c6,519$1,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,891.731,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Pelicans70c4,754$3,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.2525138.6%97 W · 154 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x73b7…9360backed Wizards30c4,237$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.132544%11 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9483…39b2backed Pelicans70c4,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2006863.2%43 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8258…f208backed Wizards21c3,195$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.647032.9%23 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1f6…673abacked Wizards28c3,100$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8681050%5 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+45.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x55ea…2ba7backed Pelicans79c3,000$2,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.346563.1%41 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Wizards28c2,973$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.1719845.5%90 W · 108 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Wizards24c2,716$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.0236843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Wizards29c2,700$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.9746131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pelicans72c2,667$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.321,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Wizards30c2,629$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.6923248.7%113 W · 119 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Pelicans70c2,475$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.631,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Pelicans71c2,445$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.4973051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Wizards26c2,334$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.717141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Pelicans70c2,037$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.4637954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Wizards29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58030251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Wizards29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5801,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Wizards20c1,786$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.9831125.1%78 W · 233 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41a9…2595backed Wizards28c1,765$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…21d8backed Wizards29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Pelicans77c1,705$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.8313140.5%53 W · 78 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x660b…7191backed Pelicans71c1,600$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards31c1,515$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.331,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefaa…0af8backed Pelicans71c1,500$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.984100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+78.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Pelicans71c1,170$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.311662.9%73 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3988…c78cbacked Pelicans72c1,156$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48d3…5d66backed Wizards7c1,153$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.044418.2%8 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf0a…8ca0backed Pelicans71c1,127$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.931758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e8…32b3backed Wizards28c1,120$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.61233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Wizards28c1,071$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.29per pick38cpaid-73.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa6ac…b899backed Pelicans71c1,070$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.426943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Wizards25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018044.4%80 W · 100 L+15.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa667…84febacked Pelicans70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0304…dcc7backed Pelicans69c999.96$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.992157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Wizards29c999.96$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.9929148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Pelicans71c957.64$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.722142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x008a…21a8backed Wizards28c940.51$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.348129.6%24 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c44…5e3fbacked Wizards28c931.99$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.96837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Wizards28c920.12$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.011,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16af…b0c4backed Pelicans71c899.98$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+29.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb858…9594backed Wizards28c899.81$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.9540%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cf8…adb8backed Pelicans72c891.61$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Pelicans66c840$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28819350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1a8…0bfcbacked Wizards30c833.33$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-48.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6153…0e04backed Wizards30c804.18$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.336347.6%30 W · 33 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x04aa…a60ebacked Pelicans72c800$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-68.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa4c6…6478backed Wizards29c800$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2321346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Pelicans71c749.97$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.4975347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Pelicans74c728.06$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.957352.1%38 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Pelicans71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2312563.2%79 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked Wizards25c703.55$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.5513341.4%55 W · 78 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd211…628bbacked Pelicans72c701.39$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.397060%42 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Pelicans78c700$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.7239843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf92…e512backed Wizards36c699.98$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.9919746.2%91 W · 106 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x853c…37ddbacked Pelicans71c626.11$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x906b…fd3cbacked Wizards33c579.55$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.897450%37 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe91d…81dfbacked Pelicans70c571.43$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.434573.3%33 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Pelicans65c568.08$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.5525957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x310d…d698backed Pelicans72c555.81$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.813467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa500…31febacked Pelicans70c542.86$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.862665.4%17 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Wizards29c517.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15038027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9167…9dc4backed Wizards29c517.21$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid+14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards33c506.65$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.651,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa57…2242backed Pelicans71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba68…ce61backed Wizards47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2359330.1%28 W · 65 L-15.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x1eb4…d00fbacked Pelicans70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15010151.5%52 W · 49 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1edd…f21ebacked Wizards29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1454835.4%17 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Wizards29c489.91$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.0730440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee83…d9dfbacked Wizards29c482.76$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402147.6%10 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+83.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cf9…1289backed Wizards30c466.77$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.034761.7%29 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceb6…0561backed Pelicans71c425.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.322263.6%14 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Wizards19c410$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5325651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54f5…e936backed Wizards29c407.94$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.9815947.8%76 W · 83 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Pelicans70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12035046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Wizards5c399$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.511,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Wizards28c394.99$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.62,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Wizards26c379.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010441.3%43 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Pelicans71c367.1$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.131,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f12…2a77backed Pelicans71c366.2$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.22360.9%14 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick70cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Wizards41c364.88$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.616345.4%74 W · 89 L-14.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x05d7…676fbacked Wizards28c359.97$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.799625%24 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked Pelicans71c358$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8226933.5%90 W · 179 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8637…9657backed Pelicans70c357$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.12060%12 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5277…7d49backed Pelicans71c352.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.112669.2%18 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick69cpaid+15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd3…9642backed Wizards29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030354.1%164 W · 139 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x18e8…1669backed Pelicans71c338.03$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.032263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pelicans71c338$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.191,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Pelicans71c338$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1947948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x610d…188bbacked Wizards32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018628%52 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa88f…208fbacked Wizards16c312$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.924420.5%9 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Pelicans77c300$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7012657.1%72 W · 54 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pelicans72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8489353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e55…f741backed Wizards13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.