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Premier League · resolved market

Fulham FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$345,869
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$355,088

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $345,869 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over55c210,128$115,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94,616.643930.8%12 W · 27 L-7.7wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-39.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under45c112,790$50,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,755.525551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c23,244$11,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,596.186,22545.6%2,836 W · 3,389 L-34.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c22,152$10,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,334.922,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under48c15,925$7,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,666.522,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under46c9,706$4,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,475.151,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Over52c9,076$4,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,356.312437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59e7…1633backed Under47c6,383$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+48.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked Under48c6,250$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed Under46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,300250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35050644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under46c4,233$1,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.391,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over31c3,614$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,479.6799345.8%455 W · 538 L+14.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under48c3,213$1,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,542.2412454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38013662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under46c3,000$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36533057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over23c2,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,54011024.5%27 W · 83 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over54c1,732$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.871,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under46c1,309$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.792,61347.6%1,245 W · 1,368 L+42.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Under1c1,207$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0713727%37 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under66c1,151$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.484,89241.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L+25.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over53c1,100$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52252454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd550…9228backed Under46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under47c1,050$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.494445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0748…a31ebacked Under48c1,041$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001225%3 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-51.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80023926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98f7…b3e4backed Over54c999.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-61.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under45c933$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.8521156.9%120 W · 91 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Under55c912.11$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.662347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Under46c850.88$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.418038.8%31 W · 49 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over52c820$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.67352.1%38 W · 35 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under46c800$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36436956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under46c652.18$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011346%52 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under46c600$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27332357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Over16c555.63$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.734914.3%7 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+76.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over54c520.41$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.830249.3%149 W · 153 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30026948.7%131 W · 138 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over51c477$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.9516024.4%39 W · 121 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under45c464.52$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.1881559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under46c420$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.165857.8%380 W · 278 L+26.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under46c420$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.160857.4%349 W · 259 L+25.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under46c420$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.137557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over78c400$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2639156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18439948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over52c381.08$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.0830559.7%182 W · 123 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over48c375.1$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.15646.4%26 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under46c340$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.732656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under46c340$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.728255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over41c330$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.8524146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x101c…24a9backed Under65c326$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2356…70b2backed Under46c323.91$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under46c310.25$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.5222229.3%65 W · 157 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over56c301.43$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.637544%33 W · 42 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under46c300$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.536758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14129259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010874.1%80 W · 28 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over54c284.98$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.0914456.3%81 W · 63 L+13.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under46c280$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.836259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x97f2…d84fbacked Under47c277.54$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.44475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+43.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under46c240$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.233156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under46c240$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.231557.8%182 W · 133 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over37c221$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.3624158.1%140 W · 101 L+34.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+36.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Under46c210.13$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.667958.2%46 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007450%37 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Over32c200$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.3628246.1%130 W · 152 L-12.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9411866.1%78 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9256158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over52c199.99$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under51c190.35$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.71,95042.5%828 W · 1,122 L-42.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under45c190$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.525553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f51…41edbacked Over55c181.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.993154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd885…c666backed Over55c181.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.832466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under59c181.36$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10710751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under46c180$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.827354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over48c177.08$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0826050.4%131 W · 129 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over55c175$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.751,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e3…c8dcbacked Over35c171.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.431643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under46c170$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.232255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under46c170$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3530554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under46c170$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.225456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under47c161.13$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3410848.1%52 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6946660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6932755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe174…f74bbacked Under45c149.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.51136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1783…7180backed Over40c127.45$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.521338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over53c121$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.549346.2%43 W · 50 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-11.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.233057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.622958.1%133 W · 96 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over27c120$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.8561441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.628359.4%168 W · 115 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.632158.6%188 W · 133 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under48c114.1$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7772249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Over54c111.19$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.198161.7%50 W · 31 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ac1…fe20backed Under45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Over52c107$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.361650%8 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+26.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.387522.7%17 W · 58 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x385e…3896backed Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011839%46 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under46c103$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.38742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-29.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6da…01cebacked Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed Under71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick66cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.