Premier League · resolved market
Fulham FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xded5e0ea2f2e149a3993a8054cb213c2fe6574f0e0b1e624616606bec87fa0cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 27c | 7,979$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160.1 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 74c | 3,369$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.91 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 77c | 2,400$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 48 | 81.3%39 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 78c | 769.3$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.3 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 601.82$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.42 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +10.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 23c | 330$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 73c | 197.19$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.24 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…7ab1backed Over | 75c | 183.33$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 173$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 60c | 172$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.41 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 19c | 149.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 212 | 50%106 W · 106 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Over | 80c | 119.95$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +43%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf62a…aecfbacked Over | 60c | 110$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 23c | 109$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 35c | 107$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 34c | 94.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea51…a876backed Over | 66c | 56.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3af…2c0abacked Over | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 60c | 50.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6d…b3febacked Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 29cpaid | +189.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 144 | 63.9%92 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa905…d753backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 76c | 24.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Over | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Over | 77c | 14.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb739…07a5backed Over | 75c | 13.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fulham FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Fulham FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fulham FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.