Premier League · resolved market
Fulham FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cda9369fadddc95da937a6a0b9e78b4d2873ae2c4b978a73297a2392aa701ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 10,736$7,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,168.24 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed Over | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Under | 78c | 8,091$6,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.93 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 75cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 70c | 6,800$4,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 78c | 2,822$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.84 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 70c | 1,562$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.29 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Under | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 30c | 1,400$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 30c | 800$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 77c | 542.79$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 30c | 420$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 30c | 420$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 30c | 420$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Over | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 70c | 397.26$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.18 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 31c | 382$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.42 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 30c | 330$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 30c | 330$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 32c | 323.65$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.37 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 30c | 320$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 13c | 319.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 20c | 207$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +10.8wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 69c | 174$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.35per pick | 56cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 260 | 58.5%152 W · 108 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 70c | 150.74$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe174…f74bbacked Over | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Under | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 30c | 127$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2290…eddebacked Over | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.32per pick | 39cpaid | -58%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 283 | 59.4%168 W · 115 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 32c | 106.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2e…f9b8backed Over | 23c | 102.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 296 | 57.8%171 W · 125 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 85 | 16.5%14 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 23c | 89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Over | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 276 | 61.6%170 W · 106 L | +22.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…0363backed Over | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Over | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa356…b3f8backed Under | 68c | 73.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 269 | 59.9%161 W · 108 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Over | 33c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Over | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 258 | 58.1%150 W · 108 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Over | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Over | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 255 | 58.8%150 W · 105 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Over | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 228 | 58.8%134 W · 94 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Over | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…c258backed Under | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 31c | 33.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Under | 70c | 28.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Under | 70c | 23.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7109…a765backed Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 58cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 68c | 14.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 724 | 42.7%309 W · 415 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fulham FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Fulham FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fulham FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.