TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Jazz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Suns, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$164,080

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,080 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x371a…34b0backed Jazz1c19,543$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.041,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e5d…ad4fbacked Jazz7c14,286$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Jazz1c11,841$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.243345.5%15 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick30cpaid+3.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x073d…65f2backed Jazz32c5,999$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.68850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+47.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x881b…28acbacked Suns68c5,360$3,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,717.57742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc3f5…32aebacked Jazz39c4,134$1,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,622.844951%25 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Jazz14c3,700$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Jazz17c2,740$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.271,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Jazz19c2,722$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.7861532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Jazz5c2,471$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.1818316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz6c2,128$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.461,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7df…1a0ebacked Jazz36c1,615$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33dc…9661backed Jazz8c1,554$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.568658.1%50 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31db…8ff3backed Jazz39c1,330$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.671050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76a0…9dedbacked Suns61c1,241$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.311163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa657…2e3cbacked Jazz14c1,218$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.081729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+63.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0b…5f1fbacked Jazz35c1,066$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Suns76c1,057$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.9265642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed Jazz32c1,026$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.236141%25 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…f0e7backed Suns68c1,024$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.691241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3176…3348backed Suns68c972.38$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked Jazz40c950$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3807549.3%37 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked Suns60c950$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3808442.9%36 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Jazz7c924.84$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4914233.1%47 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Suns60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.3330954%167 W · 142 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe174…f74bbacked Jazz40c829.99$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.9940%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Jazz33c804.53$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.521649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe6aa…d2f5backed Suns67c800$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2642119%4 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.18per pick37cpaid-66.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Suns66c800$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.781,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae8…9e5abacked Suns68c781.13$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Suns79c780.48$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.634050%20 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Suns59c779.66$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.6646131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Jazz15c751.97$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7719137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2eb…f1b0backed Jazz32c749.92$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.981838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Suns67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.2712451.6%64 W · 60 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Suns61c726.65$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.3910058%58 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Jazz39c683.64$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.0419642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jazz14c682.83$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.191,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ba2…18a5backed Jazz17c631.72$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.399130.8%28 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94a4…8828backed Jazz34c623.5$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.99520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61fb…e089backed Suns69c621.96$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.722240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed Jazz21c599.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.522039.1%86 W · 134 L+14.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x459b…734ebacked Suns68c573.64$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea17…b77abacked Suns68c548$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf903…685cbacked Jazz12c543$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.25911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid+23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68cf…004dbacked Suns62c525$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.756947.8%33 W · 36 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77a1…fbe0backed Suns65c495$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.251050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x433e…3f60backed Jazz41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce3…8438backed Jazz9c474.97$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.251435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick25cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x487f…30babacked Jazz40c470$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1885248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf64…7e54backed Suns60c470$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1885250%26 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d6b…abe1backed Suns67c448.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.85425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-62.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e05…6446backed Suns61c434.43$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.43560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Suns69c432.44$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.446839.7%27 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Jazz37c378.3$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9712247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Suns67c367.33$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.651,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26c3…d484backed Suns61c346.79$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.79366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x885d…70ecbacked Jazz41c338.2$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.661136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid+36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Jazz34c308.82$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10527939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f88…1272backed Suns61c304.92$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.92955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+22.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dec…50dabacked Jazz41c303.1$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85f5…0009backed Jazz33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc85…b740backed Jazz15c300.75$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.221040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2813…3177backed Jazz22c300$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662825%7 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Jazz13c300$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011926.1%31 W · 88 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x603a…fc8bbacked Suns61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1174652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Suns68c299.69$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.926547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf80a…1a16backed Jazz34c294$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.96520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-67.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa50e…66ebbacked Jazz15c277.25$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.65944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick31cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55b9…f0d6backed Jazz15c267$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.04850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a46…0563backed Jazz34c264.71$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda03…fa78backed Suns65c255$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.251650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dbc…d78bbacked Suns60c249.76$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+258.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a93…e99ebacked Jazz41c248.78$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Suns72c247.61$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3323646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Suns68c220.63$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6336449.7%181 W · 183 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde96…5290backed Suns61c217.68$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.422962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+26.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc365…5419backed Jazz12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254351.2%22 W · 21 L-5.8wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-23.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x37c1…e0c9backed Suns72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.338537.6%32 W · 53 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0026…cd66backed Jazz37c200$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7311428.1%32 W · 82 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c0d…0d5abacked Suns61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Jazz15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3027631.2%86 W · 190 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Suns66c199.99$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6889353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x065d…e941backed Jazz40c187.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-51.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba19…0f73backed Jazz35c186.98$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.446350.8%32 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec6f…f75bbacked Suns61c180.7$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.47757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c3…0b5ebacked Suns59c179.97$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.796262.9%39 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd58b…48e8backed Suns60c177.34$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.946358.7%37 W · 26 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Jazz18c173.05$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1511332.7%37 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc6d…f1c8backed Suns60c169.86$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.94560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6099…bae1backed Suns60c166.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.122035%7 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf006…6816backed Suns61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.93450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2f0…0bd2backed Suns61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.937035.7%25 W · 45 L-12.1wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-37.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb125…cb78backed Jazz12c158.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193925.6%10 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x117d…4b05backed Suns60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Jazz13c150$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2077437.5%290 W · 484 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea7…f625backed Jazz33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.58232.9%27 W · 55 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Jazz39c148.62$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2372341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6283…0cf9backed Suns68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.062751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid+10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f2…702cbacked Suns66c139.41$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.49868.4%67 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.