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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nigma Galaxyof Zero Tenacity, Nigma Galaxy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,465
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,528

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,465 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x309d…4287backed Zero Tenacity0c19,030$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.037749.4%38 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Zero Tenacity49c6,678$3,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,290.546451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Nigma Galaxy43c3,514$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,015.028432.1%27 W · 57 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb76f…8536backed Nigma Galaxy55c2,636$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.222065%13 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+48.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Nigma Galaxy57c2,286$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.845761.4%35 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Nigma Galaxy43c2,250$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.491457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Zero Tenacity43c1,786$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.4873841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Zero Tenacity58c1,670$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.322,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Nigma Galaxy70c1,624$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.1517350.9%88 W · 85 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Zero Tenacity66c1,494$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.4815457.1%88 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Zero Tenacity68c1,400$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.9914661%89 W · 57 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Nigma Galaxy44c1,379$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.8186949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97f2…d84fbacked Zero Tenacity55c1,322$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.217746.8%36 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x672d…dbd7backed Zero Tenacity3c1,058$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1140047.5%190 W · 210 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2538…443cbacked Zero Tenacity1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed Nigma Galaxy61c967.35$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.6526957.6%155 W · 114 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Nigma Galaxy32c942.8$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.5265925.5%168 W · 491 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2905…6255backed Nigma Galaxy65c861.88$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.443360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa824…c9fcbacked Nigma Galaxy56c807.03$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.0318053.3%96 W · 84 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked Nigma Galaxy35c799.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.9923546.8%110 W · 125 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce1f…7392backed Nigma Galaxy57c754.8$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.9467853.5%363 W · 315 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Zero Tenacity16c713.07$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.0411753%62 W · 55 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Nigma Galaxy63c663.25$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.2546664.2%299 W · 167 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Zero Tenacity37c471.65$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.2946535.1%163 W · 302 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Zero Tenacity68c445.66$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.841450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Zero Tenacity49c302.73$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.6755157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Zero Tenacity52c298.67$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.389444.7%42 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…3b0abacked Zero Tenacity40c249.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.83852.6%20 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Zero Tenacity43c246.59$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0349133.6%165 W · 326 L+1.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Zero Tenacity54c227.4$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.847660.7%289 W · 187 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Zero Tenacity39c222.19$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.651428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-51.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Zero Tenacity50c218.57$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2961548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc034…286ebacked Nigma Galaxy56c215$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf067…aa87backed Zero Tenacity44c213$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b2e…5c89backed Zero Tenacity47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-49.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e61…8190backed Zero Tenacity44c210$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8236…3340backed Nigma Galaxy56c208$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ff6…b28abacked Zero Tenacity44c208$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc07b…a5e4backed Nigma Galaxy56c208$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c3d…99b2backed Zero Tenacity44c205$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48a8…eba8backed Nigma Galaxy56c205$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21b8…17a7backed Nigma Galaxy56c201$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97a4…45d1backed Zero Tenacity44c201$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d96…b15ebacked Nigma Galaxy56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d73…2f1abacked Zero Tenacity44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Zero Tenacity31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6295841.1%394 W · 564 L+32.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…649fbacked Nigma Galaxy56c197.26$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.261275%9 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+58.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed Zero Tenacity14c192.44$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9440014.8%59 W · 341 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed Zero Tenacity48c190.08$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6454445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed Nigma Galaxy57c178.95$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.953100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+112%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x06b0…afd6backed Zero Tenacity47c167.36$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Zero Tenacity22c164.94$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.666169.7%60 W · 556 L-2.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Nigma Galaxy43c153.64$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.67149.3%35 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc954…642fbacked Nigma Galaxy59c146.49$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0616155.3%89 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Nigma Galaxy40c138$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.834943.3%151 W · 198 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Nigma Galaxy22c121.85$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5814142.6%60 W · 81 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00c8…a75fbacked Nigma Galaxy35c120$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81a4…da1fbacked Nigma Galaxy42c119.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.255837.9%22 W · 36 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Zero Tenacity65c115.81$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2336054.4%196 W · 164 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Nigma Galaxy55c110.79$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.211,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed Zero Tenacity36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3679343.6%346 W · 447 L+38.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Nigma Galaxy55c99.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4521045.7%96 W · 114 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Zero Tenacity50c99.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.041353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4da8…6511backed Nigma Galaxy51c97.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.234100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+100.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Zero Tenacity43c92.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8113733.6%46 W · 91 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67c3…0e36backed Nigma Galaxy55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9112965.1%84 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Nigma Galaxy57c90.85$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c65…6a0cbacked Nigma Galaxy52c85.94$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.94633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Nigma Galaxy59c84.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.068061.3%49 W · 31 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd56c…1cf9backed Zero Tenacity43c81.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.722254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Nigma Galaxy51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.220046%92 W · 108 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Nigma Galaxy31c79.41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4153834.2%184 W · 354 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6438…255bbacked Zero Tenacity76c78.58$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.642657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b89…baa4backed Zero Tenacity41c78.05$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Nigma Galaxy60c76.94$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.784531.1%14 W · 31 L-5.5wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-39.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x13e9…7eebbacked Nigma Galaxy55c76.24$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.312846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02d7…0c39backed Zero Tenacity35c75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2520530.7%63 W · 142 L-0.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Zero Tenacity69c73.91$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9126661.7%164 W · 102 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6760…3ad4backed Nigma Galaxy51c73.4$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.67837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Zero Tenacity41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3073554.7%402 W · 333 L-3.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa4f9…32bebacked Nigma Galaxy65c69.33$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.337736.4%28 W · 49 L-11.8wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-30.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Nigma Galaxy32c65$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.252243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x425f…0f7abacked Zero Tenacity25c64.91$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.418154.7%99 W · 82 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f28…e43ebacked Nigma Galaxy61c62.66$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.441735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2ae…fbf2backed Nigma Galaxy62c61.67$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.211770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+29.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3703…2795backed Zero Tenacity32c56.11$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1815341.2%63 W · 90 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Nigma Galaxy62c55.2$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9812061.7%74 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Zero Tenacity37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.514547.6%69 W · 76 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d31…07b0backed Zero Tenacity60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025255.2%139 W · 113 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed Nigma Galaxy63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.553757.7%310 W · 227 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Zero Tenacity39c49.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.522845.6%104 W · 124 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7cff…6471backed Nigma Galaxy27c49.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.694052.5%21 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00db…4be2backed Zero Tenacity41c48.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-59%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb83d…3560backed Nigma Galaxy62c48.31$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.31862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Nigma Galaxy62c48.19$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.193151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ffd…c2b4backed Zero Tenacity58c47.26$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Nigma Galaxy61c45.78$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7826958.7%158 W · 111 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5b4…b5e8backed Nigma Galaxy64c43.75$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.751855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb0…466fbacked Zero Tenacity45c42.42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.251553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3275…de1ebacked Nigma Galaxy59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.