Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63b3b573c3eafb37df9c6dfd4e3d8d6c5ced03d97ef8ba56e988f827fcd0c9d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Zero Tenacity, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Zero Tenacity | 48c | 13,522$6,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,490.42 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Zero Tenacity | 51c | 10,907$5,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,576.74 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Zero Tenacity | 0c | 10,270$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 9,788$5,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,743.21 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 9,019$4,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,402.63 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 5,003$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.73 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 1,500$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.15 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zero Tenacity | 46c | 1,175$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.72 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85d…6832backed Zero Tenacity | 1c | 767.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d24…6564backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 515$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Zero Tenacity | 20c | 239.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2e…5c89backed Zero Tenacity | 43c | 228.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 215.89$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.15 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 191.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.86 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Zero Tenacity | 29c | 149.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 121.84$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 90.01$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Zero Tenacity | 51c | 81.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Zero Tenacity | 52c | 75.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a69…aec0backed Zero Tenacity | 61c | 64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Zero Tenacity | 41c | 61.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0d…e5b9backed Zero Tenacity | 52c | 59.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Zero Tenacity | 42c | 53.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 137 | 33.6%46 W · 91 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf50…aca0backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 48.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Zero Tenacity | 52c | 43.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 41.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…32bebacked Zero Tenacity | 39c | 33.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -11.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 27.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked Zero Tenacity | 42c | 24.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 24.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…24c2backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 16.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Western Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.