Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d15c3156f17177d2c706332d0d022b8fb66483e0ea17a3e4e8b9f8b922d811f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,866,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,977,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,866,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 35c | 221,558$76,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145,078.55 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 11c | 123,209$13,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109,655.95 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 15c | 103,453$15,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,136.11 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 16c | 82,671$13,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,091.4 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 11c | 36,400$4,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,231.96 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 15c | 35,738$5,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,425.77 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 10c | 35,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,500 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 10c | 30,000$3,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,984.21 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 12c | 27,036$3,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,791.68 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 15c | 25,805$3,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,934.58 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b8f7backed Yes | 7c | 20,603$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 9c | 15,511$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,115.04 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 11c | 14,683$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,068.08 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 12c | 12,540$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,035.2 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 11c | 10,837$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,612.65 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 19c | 10,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,100 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed No | 13c | 9,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,830 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 12c | 8,974$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,929.33 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 8,278$3,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,702.63 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 9c | 8,041$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,317.63 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed No | 8c | 7,325$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,739.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 12c | 7,194$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,357.37 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 11c | 6,819$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,073.15 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 71c | 6,301$4,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,458.15 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 26c | 6,017$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,436.95 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 45c | 5,636$2,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,553 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 9c | 5,349$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,867.75 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f91…c21fbacked No | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,450 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +163.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.99 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.89 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 12c | 4,325$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,806 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 11c | 3,697$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,290.73 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Yes | 0c | 3,584$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed No | 17c | 3,542$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,941.68 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 63c | 3,003$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.16 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked No | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +429.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 35c | 2,808$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.8 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +285.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc3…a6dabacked No | 11c | 2,806$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 8c | 2,772$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.13 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 49c | 2,751$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.91 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6304backed Yes | 73c | 2,727$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.07 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 12c | 2,717$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390.96 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes | 76c | 2,712$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Yes | 52c | 2,692$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.73 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 10c | 2,579$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,321.05 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…78f0backed No | 11c | 2,120$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +833.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 45c | 2,087$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed Yes | 73c | 1,862$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…0095backed No | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +81%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked No | 11c | 1,492$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.64 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 58c | 1,449$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.86 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Yes | 2c | 1,350$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +61%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed No | 11c | 1,316$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.77 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 11c | 1,215$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.38 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88b…af8bbacked No | 12c | 1,213$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 10c | 1,153$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.43 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…49d2backed Yes | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…a127backed Yes | 49c | 1,011$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked No | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…3b03backed No | 52c | 999.98$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 11c | 999.92$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.93 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…380cbacked Yes | 49c | 988.05$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 20c | 926$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.5 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Yes | 32c | 874.99$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Yes | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 12c | 800$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…2bd1backed Yes | 13c | 770.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 48c | 742.41$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.36 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb6…8af4backed No | 11c | 727.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 27cpaid | +201%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 12c | 694$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.72 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b20…de61backed No | 9c | 661.11$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +319.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…6903backed Yes | 2c | 642.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 12c | 604.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 11c | 600$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.5 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56a…fe7cbacked No | 11c | 600$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Yes | 24c | 600$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Yes | 47c | 525.53$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed No | 12c | 516.41$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.44 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked No | 12c | 507.07$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.22 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed No | 11c | 499.97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.97 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 49c | 496.43$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.25 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…f7efbacked No | 12c | 453.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +758.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed No | 14c | 429.34$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.58 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 14c | 422.26$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.81 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 46c | 417.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.17 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74f…f510backed Yes | 13c | 416.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 12c | 402.46$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.42 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…fc60backed No | 11c | 401.82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +450.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…2943backed Yes | 46c | 400.02$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.01 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 36c | 400$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 11c | 400$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 11c | 399.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.98 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…c232backed No | 11c | 388.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ddc…066bbacked Yes | 77c | 370.65$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 68c | 368.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-24?Yes won
- Will FC Bayern München vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.