Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Bayern München vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01649cfc64ff62aa16e241bde0c290b996ed27f138286e5c35aeadba54090df2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea32…8870backed Yes | 8c | 12,860$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.78 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 7,348$5,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.31 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…92c3backed Yes | 11c | 5,460$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 40c | 3,353$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.9 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…89a1backed Yes | 8c | 3,061$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 33c | 2,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 7c | 2,287$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.09 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 1,506$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.03 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0f…1dc9backed Yes | 33c | 1,400$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 57c | 1,298$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.28 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 7c | 1,137$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.59 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 7c | 972$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 8c | 901.16$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.09 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 21c | 854$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.78 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 65c | 821.56$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.96 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 8c | 800$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 8c | 638.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Yes | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 7c | 600$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 228 | 29.4%67 W · 161 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Yes | 33c | 599.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 57c | 595.83$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.33 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 7c | 582$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…94b8backed Yes | 8c | 520$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 64c | 500$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4735…d4ebbacked Yes | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299e…31a6backed Yes | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Yes | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 9c | 377.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Yes | 9c | 377.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 37c | 365.77$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.64 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…714bbacked Yes | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…f560backed Yes | 14c | 310$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…c1bebacked Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…e374backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 28c | 286.92$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 119 | 31.1%37 W · 82 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…20a5backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…7aaabacked Yes | 6c | 249.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…1f38backed Yes | 7c | 218.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Yes | 47c | 213.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Yes | 26c | 194.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…3f00backed Yes | 6c | 186.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 7c | 176.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 31c | 171.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…6fc0backed Yes | 14c | 170$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 7c | 169.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x002f…6a4ebacked Yes | 9c | 152$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fe…025cbacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 77c | 147$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 26c | 139.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…244fbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 33c | 121.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…11a6backed Yes | 46c | 118$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377d…b135backed Yes | 18c | 112.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…6d7ebacked Yes | 10c | 104.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74f…f510backed Yes | 23c | 103.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcb…4381backed Yes | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…52dbbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1add…924abacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +150.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd923…aed5backed Yes | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Yes | 15c | 88.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…c8dfbacked Yes | 11c | 88.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 69c | 84.92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 30c | 82.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…51d1backed Yes | 42c | 82.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed No | 67c | 79$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked No | 64c | 78.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 36c | 69.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ec…40edbacked Yes | 33c | 68.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 30c | 67.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ed…7b21backed Yes | 48c | 64.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…1008backed Yes | 25c | 64.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed No | 53c | 63.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa905…d753backed Yes | 34c | 59.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 80c | 47.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87f…641ebacked Yes | 21c | 47.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4a…04b9backed Yes | 30c | 44.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 27c | 44.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes | 37c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed No | 68c | 27.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed No | 57c | 21.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…84efbacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…1879backed No | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9594…fed3backed No | 79c | 15.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Bayern München vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-24?Yes won
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.